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Penguins at Flames
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸4
Calgary Flames
1
FinalTV SN-PIT, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Calgary Flames 4-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bryan Rust's goal at 0:50 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 71% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.7 to 1.7; shots on goal were PIT 25, CGY 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 18 of 19 (.947), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evgeni Malkin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Tommy Novak (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jack St. Ivany (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    E. Malkin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    T. Novak1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    J. St. Ivany2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT1111826425
CGYCGY051905119

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    E. Malkin(11)
    R. Shea (15), J. St. Ivany (4)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:49

2nd period

  1. PIT
    E. Chinakhov(7)
    T. Novak (17), E. Malkin (26)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-0
    12:32
  2. CGY
    Y. Sharangovich(11)
    Z. Whitecloud (6), K. Bahl (9)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    19:57

3rd period

  1. PIT
    B. Rust(18)
    S. Crosby (30), R. Rakell (13)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.17win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    0:50
  2. PIT
    T. Novak(9)
    J. St. Ivany (5)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-1
    9:19

Penalties

PIT 2 PIM·CGY 2 PIM

1st

  • 2:29CGYRyan Lomberg · Hookingdrawn by Connor Dewar2 min

3rd

  • 1:04PITTommy Novak · Trippingdrawn by Matvei Gridin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalPIT goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Bryan Rust, 3rd 0:50 — PIT 71% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Gridin · On goal · xG 0.18M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.17R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.14C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.08N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.08R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.07N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.07C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Sharangovich · Goal · xG 0.06H. Brzustewicz · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kirkland · Missed · xG 0.05K. Bahl · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.05M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.05M. Gridin · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pospisil · Missed · xG 0.03C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.03M. Gridin · Missed · xG 0.02K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.02Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.02M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.02M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kirkland · Missed · xG 0.02Y. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01H. Brzustewicz · Missed · xG 0.01M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01M. Gridin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Hanley · Missed · xG 0.01H. Brzustewicz · Missed · xG 0.00R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY1 G · 1.7 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsCGY
2.74 G
All situations
1 G1.7
2.64 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT69%31%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.68 – 1.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsCGY
25
Shots on goal
19
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
17
Hits
24
17
Blocked shots
11
16
Giveaways
16
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28P. WotherspoonD000+100.00310—22:14
77B. KulakD000000.00110—21:39
5R. SheaD011+240.37010—19:47
75C. CliftonD000010.06110—19:06
27R. GravesD000+100.00130—18:21
17B. RustR101030.20110—17:14
3J. St. IvanyD022+210.02120—16:55
87S. CrosbyC011010.040105316:23
67R. RakellR011030.28110—16:18
71E. MalkinC112+330.15110015:26
39A. ManthaR000010.111005015:06
59E. ChinakhovR101+320.310103314:35
81B. KindelC000000.070003814:33
16J. BrazeauR000020.44000—14:32
18T. NovakC112+320.340121814:13
19C. DewarC000020.20300014:13
46B. LizotteC000000.091006013:57
55N. AcciariC000000.002205713:28
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)19181.9471.71+0.7160:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).