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Vancouver Canucks at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV SNP, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Vancouver Canucks 2-1. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Elias Pettersson's goal at 1:17 of the third period, which took the Canucks' chances from 8% to 24%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were VAN 20, OTT 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Leevi Meriläinen stopped 19 of 20 (.950), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Leevi Meriläinen (19 saves, .950), 2. Kevin Lankinen (38 saves, .950), 3. Artem Zub (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    L. Meriläinen19 saves, .950
  2. ★★
    VAN
    K. Lankinen38 saves, .950
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    A. Zub1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN060519120
OTTOTT21401808240

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    S. Pinto (11), M. Amadio (10)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:36
  2. OTT
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    15:51

3rd period

  1. VAN
    snapxG 0.16win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    1:17

Penalties

VAN 4 PIM·OTT 2 PIM

2nd

  • 1:40VANFilip Hronek · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 12:54OTTClaude Giroux · Slashingdrawn by Zeev Buium2 min

3rd

  • 19:32VANConor Garland · Trippingdrawn by Artem Zub2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalVAN goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Elias Pettersson, 3rd 1:17 — VAN 8% → 24%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.33D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.27T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.17L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.16D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.13T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.12F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.11L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.11F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.11F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.11L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.11R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.11M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.11C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.10D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.09T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.09T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.08D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.08C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.07D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.07N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.07C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.07C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.05N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.05D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.05J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.05R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.04N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.04T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.04J. Spence · Goal · xG 0.04S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.03A. Zub · Goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.03J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.02L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.02A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.01R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 3.6 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsOTT
2.21 G
All situations
2 G3.6
2.01 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN30%70%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.12 – 3.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsOTT
20
Shots on goal
40
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
21
Hits
25
18
Blocked shots
16
14
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29M. PetterssonD000+100.03220—24:49
17F. HronekD000+100.00222—23:16
24Z. BuiumD000000.02110—21:23
57T. MyersD000-110.20110—20:20
8C. GarlandR000-110.12012—17:31
6B. BoeserR000-110.401007517:19
91E. KaneL000010.15000—16:23
64D. KampfC000-120.012004415:50
40E. PetterssonC101+130.310202515:28
90V. ManciniD000-100.00110—14:51
74J. DeBruskL000+140.53120—14:43
54A. RätyC000040.142006014:39
21N. HoglanderL000000.00400—14:27
94L. KarlssonC011+100.00220014:06
63M. SassonC000-100.001102913:56
7P. JosephD000-210.03030—13:31
18D. O'ConnorL000-100.02000—13:30
92L. OhgrenL000-120.22100—13:15
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(L)40382.9503.30+1.3058:15

Season series

OTT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).