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Utah Mammoth at New York Rangers

Final/OTTV Utah16, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the New York Rangers 3-2 in overtime, Sean Durzi scoring at 1:06. The Rangers scored first; the Mammoth answered. The Rangers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Durzi's goal at 1:06 of overtime, which took the Mammoth's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 3.6 to 3.1; shots on goal were UTA 27, NYR 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 15 of 18 (.833). Three stars: 1. Sean Durzi (1 G), 2. Michael Carcone (1 G), 3. Mika Zibanejad (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    S. Durzi1 G
  2. ★★
    UTA
    M. Carcone1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
UTAUTA012181611327
NYRNYR072140300224

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.18win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:29
  2. UTA
    I. Cole (11)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:38
  3. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-2
    16:36

3rd period

  1. UTA
    wristxG 0.22win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-2
    6:15

Overtime

  1. UTA
    wristxG 0.27win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    1:06

Penalties

UTA 10 PIM·NYR 4 PIM

2nd

  • 2:00NYRJonathan Quick · Roughingdrawn by Daniil But2 min
  • 2:00UTADaniil But · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jonathan Quick2 min
  • 7:33UTADylan Guenther · Trippingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min
  • 15:31UTAAlexander Kerfoot · Slashingdrawn by Carson Soucy2 min
  • 15:31UTABrandon Tanev · Trippingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min

3rd

  • 1:52NYRUrho Vaakanainen · Hookingdrawn by Michael Carcone2 min
  • 16:46UTASean Durzi · Hookingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalUTA goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Sean Durzi, OT 1:06 — UTA 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.20M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.20A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.18T. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.18W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.17V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.17W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.16M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.15M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.14A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.14V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.13A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.11A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.11A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.11M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.09J. Dowling · On goal · xG 0.08A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.05S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.05J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.05V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.05V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.05A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.04A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.04V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.04G. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.03C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.03W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.03A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.03V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Dowling · Missed · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.02W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.01A. Blidh · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.01U. Vaakanainen · Missed · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.01G. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.01
NYR2 G · 3.1 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsNYR
3.63 G
All situations
2 G3.1
3.53 G
Even strength
0 G1.8
0.00 G
Power play
2 G1.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA56%44%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.49 – 3.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsNYR
27
Shots on goal
24
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/1
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
38
9
Blocked shots
14
14
Giveaways
16
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD000+110.10010—26:48
50S. DurziD101+120.35002—22:09
6J. MarinoD011+110.07100—21:14
88N. SchmidtD000+120.19200—20:57
9C. KellerR000020.33000—20:05
67L. CrouseL011+100.22410—19:40
8N. SchmaltzC011+140.330005318:36
28I. ColeD011+100.02120—17:52
11D. GuentherR101+160.360226716:00
77J. PeterkaR000+130.410005015:41
27B. HaytonC000+200.080005615:21
19D. ButL000+100.32012—13:56
53M. CarconeL101+110.26310—13:32
22J. McBainC000020.264105713:25
82K. StenlundC000000.000002512:21
57N. DeSimoneD000010.05000—10:42
15A. KerfootC000000.000028009:19
13B. TanevL000020.21302—07:39
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(W)24222.9173.13+1.1361:06

Season series

UTA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).