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Utah Mammoth at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV Utah16, MSGSN·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Utah Mammoth 4-1. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Timo Meier's goal at 14:18 of the first period, which took the Devils' chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals were close — UTA 2.9, NJD 2.9; shots on goal were UTA 31, NJD 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.1 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jacob Markstrom (30 saves, .968), 2. Timo Meier (1 G), 3. Brett Pesce (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    J. Markstrom30 saves, .968
  2. ★★
    NJD
    T. Meier1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    B. Pesce2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA01205114131
NJDNJD2921209430

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    wrap-aroundxG 0.03win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:27
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    14:18

2nd period

  1. NJD
    J. Hughes (13), J. Bratt (24)
    tip-inxG 0.25win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    15:13
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.02win prob +3 ptsVideo
    0-4
    16:43

3rd period

  1. UTA
    wristxG 0.07Video
    1-4
    12:35

Penalties

UTA 6 PIM·NJD 4 PIM

1st

  • 17:06NJDLuke Hughes · Slashingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min

2nd

  • 0:31UTADylan Guenther · Slashingdrawn by Cody Glass2 min
  • 13:09UTANick Schmaltz · Trippingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min
  • 14:09UTAMikhail Sergachev · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 10:27NJDStefan Noesen · Slashingdrawn by Michael Carcone2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalUTA goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Timo Meier, 1st 14:18 — NJD 67% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.25T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.21S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.19N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.16L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.14T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.14S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.14O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.12T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.11B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.11J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.11J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.10D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.09T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.09J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.09L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.09N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.08T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.07D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.07J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.07L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.05J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.05T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.04L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bratt · Goal · xG 0.03J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD4 G · 2.9 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsNJD
2.91 G
All situations
4 G2.9
2.31 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.60 G
Power play
1 G1.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA49%51%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.86 – 2.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsNJD
31
Shots on goal
30
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
28
Hits
24
8
Blocked shots
14
12
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9C. KellerR000-140.39000—22:46
8N. SchmaltzC000-160.460025322:17
88N. SchmidtD000020.04010—21:38
98M. SergachevD000-310.02112—20:59
50S. DurziD011-210.05010—20:44
6J. MarinoD000010.04110—20:28
28I. ColeD000000.00120—17:42
11D. GuentherR000-230.5940210017:20
77J. PeterkaR000030.24010—15:52
67L. CrouseL000020.10500—15:07
57N. DeSimoneD000000.00110—14:25
82K. StenlundC000010.000005814:11
19D. ButL000020.38000—13:18
27B. HaytonC011010.102004512:42
22J. McBainC000-100.025003312:36
53M. CarconeL101030.34200—11:44
15A. KerfootC000010.060003311:06
38L. O'BrienC000000.06600010:01
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(L)30264.8672.94-1.0660:00

Season series

NJD leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).