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Jets at Red Wings
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
1
Detroit Red Wings
▸2
FinalTV FDSNDET, SN·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Winnipeg Jets 2-1. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mason Appleton's goal at 14:48 of the first period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.0 to 1.1; shots on goal were WPG 24, DET 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 17 of 19 (.895), 0.9 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mason Appleton (1 G), 2. Dylan Larkin (1 G), 3. Logan Stanley (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    M. Appleton1 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    D. Larkin1 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    L. Stanley1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG0501118124
DETDET2100603219

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(21)PPG
    M. Seider (24), L. Raymond (32)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:22
  2. DET
    M. Appleton(5)
    J. Compher (9), M. Rasmussen (8)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    14:48

3rd period

  1. WPG
    L. Stanley(7)
    J. Toews (8)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    7:04

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·DET 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:12WPGJosh Morrissey · Roughingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min

2nd

  • 1:04WPGVladislav Namestnikov · Cross checkingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min
  • 4:13DETPatrick Kane · Hookingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
  • 12:20WPGCole Perfetti · Hookingdrawn by James van Riemsdyk2 min
  • 12:40DETDylan Larkin · Slashingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min

3rd

  • 8:24DETDylan Larkin · Holdingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalWPG goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Mason Appleton, 1st 14:48 — DET 67% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.12A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.12M. Appleton · Goal · xG 0.11D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.10E. Finnie · On goal · xG 0.10L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.06M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.06D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.05M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.05A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.04A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.04M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.03A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.03D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.02L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.01E. Finnie · On goal · xG 0.01S. Edvinsson · On goal · xG 0.00J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.00
DET2 G · 1.1 xG · 23 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsDET
2.01 G
All situations
2 G1.1
1.61 G
Even strength
1 G1.0
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 58 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG70%30%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.03 – 1.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsDET
24
Shots on goal
19
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
14
11
Blocked shots
20
13
Giveaways
12
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000000.02022—23:43
55M. ScheifeleC000000.000303323:36
81K. ConnorL000040.23000—23:08
4N. PionkD000000.00200—22:06
13G. VilardiC000010.260007522:05
2D. DeMeloD000-110.10200—20:53
54D. SambergD000040.09210—19:44
14G. NyquistR000020.2700010016:11
64L. StanleyD101+110.04100—15:34
5L. SchennD000000.00400—14:12
91C. PerfettiC000+130.31102014:06
19J. ToewsC011+110.040006213:09
17A. LowryC000-120.181004512:19
9A. IafalloL000+110.05420—12:15
62N. NiederreiterR000020.25100—11:41
36M. BarronC000-120.203105011:31
70T. PearsonL000-100.02210—10:44
7V. NamestnikovC000000.001122510:21
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)19172.8951.09-0.9157:32

Season series

DET leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).