Philadelphia Flyers at Seattle Kraken
Recap
written from the game dataThe Seattle Kraken beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-1. The Kraken scored first and never trailed. The Kraken led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Eberle's goal at 3:48 of the second period, which took the Kraken's chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals were close — PHI 2.7, SEA 2.5; shots on goal were PHI 33, SEA 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 16 of 18 (.889), 1.1 goals below expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Philipp Grubauer (32 saves, .970), 2. Eeli Tolvanen (2 G, 1 A), 3. Jordan Eberle (1 G).
Three stars
- ★P. Grubauer32 saves, .970

- ★★E. Tolvanen2 G, 1 A

- ★★★J. Eberle1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals2nd period
0-13:48
3rd period
0-25:49
0-317:31
1-318:03
1-418:24
Penalties
1st
- 7:40
Berkly Catton · Holdingdrawn by Nikita Grebenkin2 min
- 12:22
Ryan Lindgren · Holdingdrawn by Denver Barkey2 min
2nd
- 13:52
served by K. Kakko · Too many men on the ice2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jordan Eberle, 2nd 3:48 — 53% → 69%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.71 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.5
- 1.61 G
- Even strength
- 2 G0.9
- 1.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.71 – 0.89
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 33
- Shots on goal
- 20
- 52%
- Faceoffs
- 48%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 0/0
- 0
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 16
- Hits
- 18
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 13
- Giveaways
- 17
- 4
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
2@
5Final
1@
4this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















