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Philadelphia Flyers at Seattle Kraken

FinalTV NHLN, KHN/Prime·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-1. The Kraken scored first and never trailed. The Kraken led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Eberle's goal at 3:48 of the second period, which took the Kraken's chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals were close — PHI 2.7, SEA 2.5; shots on goal were PHI 33, SEA 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 16 of 18 (.889), 1.1 goals below expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Philipp Grubauer (32 saves, .970), 2. Eeli Tolvanen (2 G, 1 A), 3. Jordan Eberle (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    P. Grubauer32 saves, .970
  2. ★★
    SEA
    E. Tolvanen2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    J. Eberle1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI01108114133
SEASEA071736420

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. SEA
    snapxG 0.19win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:48

3rd period

  1. SEA
    snapxG 0.16win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    5:49
  2. SEA
    deflectedxG 0.94Video
    0-3
    17:31
  3. PHI
    1-3
    18:03
  4. SEA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.67Video
    1-4
    18:24

Penalties

PHI 0 PIM·SEA 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:40SEABerkly Catton · Holdingdrawn by Nikita Grebenkin2 min
  • 12:22SEARyan Lindgren · Holdingdrawn by Denver Barkey2 min

2nd

  • 13:52SEAserved by K. Kakko · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalPHI goalFinal: SEA 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Eberle, 2nd 3:48 — SEA 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Tolvanen · Goal · xG 0.94E. Tolvanen · Goal · xG 0.67J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.19C. Stephenson · Goal · xG 0.16R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.08B. Catton · On goal · xG 0.07J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.06B. Meyers · On goal · xG 0.05F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.04E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.03J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.03M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.02J. Melanson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Wright · On goal · xG 0.02T. Kartye · Missed · xG 0.02J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.01T. Kartye · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.00J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA4 G · 2.5 xG · 26 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsSEA
2.71 G
All situations
2 G2.5
1.61 G
Even strength
2 G0.9
1.20 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI84%16%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.71 – 0.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsSEA
33
Shots on goal
20
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/3
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
18
16
Blocked shots
17
13
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9J. DrysdaleD000-240.14100—23:22
46T. ZegrasC000-210.200003321:04
6T. SanheimD000-310.03020—19:25
55R. RistolainenD000020.02120—19:25
11T. KonecnyR000-230.48000—19:21
8C. YorkD000-130.07010—18:57
24N. SeelerD000+100.00440—18:03
74O. TippettR000-240.291103317:38
10B. BrinkR000-110.08010—16:45
36E. AndraeD000000.00010—16:05
27N. CatesL000-110.172005815:52
22C. DvorakC000-230.250006014:52
39M. MichkovR000-240.47010—14:21
52D. BarkeyC000010.03310014:19
14S. CouturierC000020.281005013:52
18R. AbolsC011010.091105613:27
29N. GrebenkinR011000.00010—12:25
91C. GrundstromR101020.13200—12:24
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(L)18162.8890.89-1.1158:23

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).