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Red Wings at Oilers
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
1
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
FinalTV FDSNDET, SNW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Hyman's goal at 17:48 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 74% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.1 to 3.2; shots on goal were DET 28, EDM 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.8 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Zach Hyman (3 G), 2. Connor McDavid (4 A), 3. Stuart Skinner (27 saves, .964).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    Z. Hyman3 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid4 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    S. Skinner27 saves, .964

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET0719012128
EDMEDM1721517429

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    Z. Hyman(3)PPG
    C. McDavid (29), L. Draisaitl (22)
    tip-inxG 0.23win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    14:25

2nd period

  1. EDM
    M. Ekholm(3)
    C. McDavid (30), R. Nugent-Hopkins (17)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    2:46
  2. DET
    S. Edvinsson(4)
    N. Danielson (5), E. Soderblom (1)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:41
  3. EDM
    Z. Hyman(4)
    C. McDavid (31), D. Nurse (6)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    17:48

3rd period

  1. EDM
    Z. Hyman(5)EN
    C. McDavid (32), L. Draisaitl (23)
    wristxG 0.81Video
    1-4
    18:43

Penalties

DET 4 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

1st

  • 13:24DETPatrick Kane · Hookingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 17:42EDMMatt Savoie · Interferencedrawn by J.T. Compher2 min

2nd

  • 10:07EDMMattias Ekholm · Hookingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
  • 19:27DETBen Chiarot · High stickingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalDET goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Zach Hyman, 2nd 17:48 — EDM 74% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.81Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.81Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.35Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.23L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.18M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.18L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.17D. Tomasek · On goal · xG 0.17Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.16Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.09C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.08V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.06A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.06E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.06L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.04D. Tomasek · On goal · xG 0.04A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.03L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.02T. Emberson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01D. Tomasek · On goal · xG 0.01A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.01M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.00D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.00B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.00M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM4 G · 4.1 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsEDM
3.21 G
All situations
3 G4.1
1.91 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
1.30 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET67%33%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.13 – 2.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsEDM
28
Shots on goal
29
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
9
Hits
25
11
Blocked shots
20
14
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD000-140.13020—22:49
77S. EdvinssonD101-110.13010—21:38
23L. RaymondL000-120.25000—20:19
8B. ChiarotD000030.07212—20:12
44A. Sandin-PellikkaD000010.03000—20:02
71D. LarkinC000-130.540104319:36
93A. DeBrincatR000-230.55010—19:15
18A. CoppC000-110.210004317:50
58E. FinnieC000030.23100017:44
88P. KaneR000-120.23012—17:33
20A. JohanssonD000-100.00110—15:54
27M. RasmussenC000010.3812010014:55
37J. CompherL000000.020004414:26
52T. HamonicD000-110.02110—13:36
48J. BerggrenR000000.00100—11:10
92M. KasperC000010.050003310:55
29N. DanielsonC011-100.180006010:41
85E. SoderblomL011020.17200—10:07
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Talbot(L)28253.8932.15-0.8558:17

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).