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Golden Knights at Flyers
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Philadelphia Flyers

Final/OTTV ESPN, SCRIPPS·Xfinity Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-2 in overtime, Mark Stone scoring at 2:47. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Stone's goal at 2:47 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.8 to 2.1; shots on goal were VGK 22, PHI 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Akira Schmid stopped 17 of 19 (.895); Dan Vladar stopped 19 of 22 (.864). Three stars: 1. Mark Stone (2 G), 2. Christian Dvorak (2 A), 3. Noah Juulsen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    M. Stone2 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    C. Dvorak2 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    N. Juulsen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VGKVGK16190512322
PHIPHI15190500219

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:07
  2. PHI
    snapxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:11

2nd period

  1. VGK
    M. Stone(5)PPG
    wristxG 0.28win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    12:53
  2. PHI
    slapxG 0.11win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-2
    16:08

Overtime

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.28win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    2:47

Penalties

VGK 6 PIM·PHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 19:43VGKIvan Barbashev · Trippingdrawn by Emil Andrae2 min

2nd

  • 3:34PHICarl Grundstrom · Holdingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
  • 12:05PHIserved by M. Michkov · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:32VGKPavel Dorofeyev · Trippingdrawn by Carl Grundstrom2 min

3rd

  • 15:12VGKBrett Howden · Elbowingdrawn by Carl Grundstrom2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalVGK goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Mark Stone, OT 2:47 — VGK 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.20T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.20T. Zegras · Goal · xG 0.17S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.15N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.14O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.13T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.12N. Juulsen · Goal · xG 0.11N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.09T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.09M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.09O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.08N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.08M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.07N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.05C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.05B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.05T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.04N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.04C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.03E. Andrae · On goal · xG 0.03N. Grebenkin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.02T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.02N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.01N. Juulsen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.01T. Murchison · On goal · xG 0.01
PHI2 G · 2.1 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsPHI
2.83 G
All situations
2 G2.1
2.22 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK62%38%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.73 – 2.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsPHI
22
Shots on goal
19
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
25
16
Blocked shots
13
19
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD000-120.08010—22:47
15N. HanifinD000+120.06000—21:42
3B. McNabbD000-200.01320—20:43
9J. EichelC022+120.340006719:23
2Z. WhitecloudD101+110.23120—19:23
61M. StoneR202+150.80040—18:57
93M. MarnerR000000.00010—18:37
6K. KorczakD000010.00230—17:54
48T. HertlC000-110.392004117:25
16P. DorofeyevR011-110.07012—17:13
21B. HowdenC000020.270026216:33
49I. BarbashevL011-110.20102—16:33
17B. HuttonD000010.25100—15:03
19R. SmithR000000.00110—14:14
10C. SissonsC000010.024006313:39
42B. BowmanR011000.0001010011:45
23C. ReinhardtL000010.05300—11:04
55K. KolesarR000010.01500—09:26
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Schmid(W)19172.8952.14+0.1462:47

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).