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Los Angeles Kings at Seattle Kraken

Final/OTTV TNT, truTV·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Los Angeles Kings 3-2 in overtime, Vince Dunn scoring at 1:21. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vince Dunn's goal at 1:21 of overtime, which took the Kraken's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 3.6 to 2.7; shots on goal were LAK 26, SEA 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Anton Forsberg stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Joey Daccord stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Vince Dunn (1 G, 2 A), 2. Joey Daccord (24 saves, .923), 3. Matty Beniers (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    V. Dunn1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    SEA
    J. Daccord24 saves, .923
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    M. Beniers1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
LAKLAK091611100226
SEASEA0611611011333

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. SEA
    J. McCann(5)PPG
    slapxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:21
  2. LAK
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:16

3rd period

  1. LAK
    K. Fiala(11)PPG
    A. Kopitar (10), A. Kempe (17)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-1
    14:40
  2. SEA
    E. Tolvanen (10), V. Dunn (12)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +47 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:34

Overtime

  1. SEA
    V. Dunn(5)PPG
    slapxG 0.11win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    1:21

Penalties

LAK 14 PIM·SEA 10 PIM

1st

  • 5:13LAKDrew Doughty · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Winterton2 min
  • 14:51SEAAdam Larsson · Hookingdrawn by Alex Laferriere2 min

2nd

  • 2:40LAKCody Ceci · Trippingdrawn by Jani Nyman2 min
  • 3:47SEARyan Winterton · Slashingdrawn by Mikey Anderson2 min
  • 5:12LAKAnze Kopitar · Hookingdrawn by Ben Meyers2 min
  • 6:32LAKWarren Foegele · Trippingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min

3rd

  • 0:54SEAMason Marchment · Trippingdrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min
  • 9:37LAKKevin Fiala · Trippingdrawn by Eeli Tolvanen2 min
  • 14:12SEARyker Evans · High sticking double minordrawn by Corey Perry4 min
  • 19:21LAKAnton Forsberg · Trippingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min

OT

  • 1:05LAKAdrian Kempe · Slashingdrawn by Matty Beniers2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalLAK goalFinal: SEA 100%

Biggest swing: Vince Dunn, OT 1:21 — SEA 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.45J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.28M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.17B. Meyers · Missed · xG 0.16E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.15C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.15J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.14M. Beniers · Goal · xG 0.13J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.13M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.12V. Dunn · Goal · xG 0.11J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.10V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.09M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.09R. Winterton · On goal · xG 0.09C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.08S. Wright · On goal · xG 0.08J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.08K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.08C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.07B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.06J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.05S. Wright · On goal · xG 0.05V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.05A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.04M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.04M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.04M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.04M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03R. Evans · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Nyman · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.02J. Nyman · On goal · xG 0.02R. Winterton · Missed · xG 0.02K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.01J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.01J. Nyman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.01M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA3 G · 3.6 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsSEA
2.72 G
All situations
3 G3.6
1.20 G
Even strength
0 G1.3
1.11 G
Power play
3 G2.3
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK33%67%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 3.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsSEA
26
Shots on goal
33
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/5
Power play
3/7
14
Penalty minutes
10
18
Hits
18
18
Blocked shots
14
16
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000020.14152—23:33
44M. AndersonD000000.05320—22:40
11A. KopitarC011020.011126521:43
9A. KempeR011040.3800210020:32
22K. FialaL101030.39112—20:08
6J. EdmundsonD000+100.00010—20:03
40J. ArmiaR011+140.33000—18:42
55Q. ByfieldR000010.100202718:39
14A. LaferriereR101+120.295005016:54
92B. ClarkeD000000.00010—16:11
2B. DumoulinD000010.01010—16:04
12T. MooreL000030.09000—15:39
5C. CeciD000+120.08012—15:32
24P. DanaultC000000.240104513:40
37W. FoegeleL000010.092125013:02
10C. PerryR000010.09100—09:39
39J. MalottL000000.36410—06:42
15A. TurcotteC000000.010005706:19
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Forsberg(O)33303.9093.56+0.5660:48

Season series

SEA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).