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Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV KHN/Prime, KONG·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Seattle Kraken 9-4. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 6-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Savoie's goal at 2:28 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 65% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 4.5 to 3.9; shots on goal were SEA 32, EDM 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 14 of 18 (.778), 1.4 goals below expected; Calvin Pickard stopped 28 of 32 (.875). Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (3 G, 1 A), 2. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 3 A), 3. Matt Savoie (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    M. Savoie2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA21111318432
EDMEDM310310312932

Scoring

13 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:17
  2. EDM
    snapxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    7:34
  3. EDM
    snapxG 0.17win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    11:27
  4. SEA
    slapxG 0.14win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-3
    16:07
  5. SEA
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.27win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    19:33

2nd period

  1. EDM
    M. Savoie(4)SHG
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    2:28
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid(13)PPG
    wristxG 0.05win prob +8 ptsVideo
    2-5
    6:14
  3. EDM
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +4 ptsVideo
    2-6
    8:53
  4. SEA
    wristxG 0.34win prob +3 ptsVideo
    3-6
    9:30

3rd period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.29win prob +2 ptsVideo
    3-7
    2:03
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid(14)PPG
    snapxG 0.02Video
    3-8
    6:59
  3. EDM
    M. Savoie(5)PPG
    snapxG 0.38Video
    3-9
    8:58
  4. SEA
    wristxG 0.34Video
    4-9
    19:55

Penalties

SEA 10 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 11:20SEARyker Evans · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:07EDMAndrew Mangiapane · Trippingdrawn by Matty Beniers2 min

2nd

  • 2:20EDMConnor Clattenburg · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryker Evans2 min
  • 3:43EDMAdam Henrique · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min
  • 4:35SEABrandon Montour · Slashingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min

3rd

  • 6:11SEABrandon Montour · High sticking double minordrawn by Connor Clattenburg4 min
  • 7:10SEAEeli Tolvanen · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalSEA goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Matt Savoie, 2nd 2:28 — EDM 65% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Savoie · Goal · xG 0.38M. Janmark · Goal · xG 0.29M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.22A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.21A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.18L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.17M. Savoie · Missed · xG 0.16Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.16M. Savoie · Goal · xG 0.15T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.15M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.13L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.13C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.11C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.10A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.08A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.07M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.07A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.07A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.07D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.07M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.06M. Savoie · Missed · xG 0.05V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.05M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.04M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.04D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.04C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.03B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03V. Podkolzin · Goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.02C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.02T. Emberson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.01
EDM9 G · 3.9 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsEDM
4.54 G
All situations
9 G3.9
3.93 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.61 G
Power play
4 G1.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA56%44%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.14 – 3.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsEDM
32
Shots on goal
32
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/3
Power play
4/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
22
7
Blocked shots
20
14
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29V. DunnD000+240.08000—24:28
6A. LarssonD000+220.02340—21:24
55R. LindgrenD000-120.41200—19:48
62B. MontourD011-130.97406—18:24
10M. BeniersC011-100.130005817:29
41R. EvansD000-200.00112—17:18
7J. EberleR011-130.31100—16:53
9C. StephensonC000-210.060004316:49
19J. McCannL101-110.76010—16:38
77B. CattonC000-100.22000016:07
20E. TolvanenR101-130.24102—15:21
24J. OleksiakD000-310.02000—15:19
89F. GaudreauC101030.410003114:06
51S. WrightC011030.202107513:52
84K. KakkoR022010.11000—13:39
26R. WintertonC000010.03300013:02
38J. NymanR101010.44100—12:15
12T. KartyeL000020.05500—10:51
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer18144.7782.57-1.4333:46
35J. Daccord(L)1495.6431.37-3.6325:58

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).