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Boston Bruins at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV FDSNDET, NESN·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Boston Bruins 5-4. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ben Chiarot's goal at 16:15 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 74% to 89%. Expected goals were close — BOS 2.8, DET 2.9; shots on goal were BOS 38, DET 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 3.0 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 34 of 38 (.895), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Moritz Seider (1 G, 2 A), 2. Alex DeBrincat (1 G, 1 A), 3. Alex Steeves (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    M. Seider1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    A. DeBrincat1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    A. Steeves2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS010210218438
DETDET27214111532

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:52
  2. DET
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    13:49

2nd period

  1. DET
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.10win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    1:35
  2. BOS
    slapxG 0.02win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-3
    11:09
  3. BOS
    snapxG 0.20win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    15:38
  4. DET
    snapxG 0.18win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    16:15

3rd period

  1. DET
    M. Seider (15), P. Kane (13)
    slapxG 0.20win prob +4 ptsVideo
    2-5
    3:55
  2. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-5
    14:57
  3. BOS
    slapxG 0.06Video
    4-5
    19:48

Penalties

BOS 28 PIM·DET 6 PIM

2nd

  • 8:20DETSimon Edvinsson · Roughingdrawn by Michael Eyssimont2 min

3rd

  • 3:24BOSHampus Lindholm · Holdingdrawn by James van Riemsdyk2 min
  • 7:47BOSNikita Zadorov · Roughingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min
  • 7:47DETMoritz Seider · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min
  • 7:47BOSNikita Zadorov · Roughingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min
  • 7:47BOSNikita Zadorov · Misconduct10 min
  • 13:27BOSMark Kastelic · Slashingdrawn by Marco Kasper2 min
  • 13:27BOSMark Kastelic · Misconduct10 min
  • 14:05DETMoritz Seider · High stickingdrawn by Sean Kuraly2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalBOS goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Ben Chiarot, 2nd 16:15 — DET 74% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Danielson · On goal · xG 0.22L. Raymond · Goal · xG 0.20D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.19B. Chiarot · Goal · xG 0.18P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.17J. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.15J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.13J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.10A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.10A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.10E. Finnie · On goal · xG 0.09N. Danielson · On goal · xG 0.09D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.08E. Soderblom · On goal · xG 0.08N. Danielson · On goal · xG 0.08P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07N. Danielson · Missed · xG 0.06J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.06M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.05J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.05L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.05E. Finnie · Missed · xG 0.04J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.04A. Sandin-Pellikka · On goal · xG 0.04N. Danielson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Danielson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.03A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.03M. Seider · Goal · xG 0.02J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.02L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.02E. Soderblom · Missed · xG 0.02A. Sandin-Pellikka · On goal · xG 0.02J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kasper · Missed · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bernard-Docker · Missed · xG 0.01E. Finnie · Missed · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.00
DET5 G · 2.9 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsDET
2.84 G
All situations
5 G2.9
2.04 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS50%50%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.79 – 2.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsDET
38
Shots on goal
32
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
1/3
28
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
18
15
Blocked shots
20
14
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27H. LindholmD033+120.12012—24:59
26A. PeekeD000-420.02140—23:10
6M. LohreiD000000.00010—21:53
45J. AspirotD101+220.05140—21:14
91N. ZadorovD011010.021114—20:42
39M. GeekieC022+150.552006718:42
11C. MittelstadtC000-120.08010017:36
21A. SteevesC202020.32300016:52
28E. LindholmC000020.240104716:30
18P. ZachaC011010.140005516:00
71V. ArvidssonL000-140.18000—15:20
93F. MintenC000030.147005015:12
92M. KhusnutdinovC101+220.28100014:32
81M. EyssimontC000040.21100013:56
52S. KuralyC000020.020004513:51
84T. JeannotL011010.12410—12:53
47M. KastelicC000020.3361126712:45
79M. CallahanD000010.02000—02:51
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman(L)23185.7832.00-3.0043:55
70J. Korpisalo9901.0000.85+0.8512:36

Season series

BOS leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).