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Flames at Hurricanes
NHL

Calgary Flames at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
0
Carolina Hurricanes
▸1
Final/OTTV FDSNSO, SNE (JIP)·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Calgary Flames 1-0 in overtime, Nikolaj Ehlers scoring at 2:52. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikolaj Ehlers's goal at 2:52 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.1 to 1.7; shots on goal were CGY 16, CAR 17. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Devin Cooley stopped 16 of 17 (.941), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Brandon Bussi stopped 16 of 16 (1.000), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brandon Bussi (16 saves, 1.000), 2. Nikolaj Ehlers (1 G), 3. Taylor Hall (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    B. Bussi16 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CAR
    N. Ehlers1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    T. Hall1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CGYCGY03080500016
CARCAR06040512117

Scoring

1 goal

Overtime

  1. CAR
    N. Ehlers(5)
    T. Hall (8), S. Walker (5)
    snapxG 0.38win prob +49 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:52

Penalties

CGY 14 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

2nd

  • 2:33CGYAdam Klapka · Trippingdrawn by Logan Stankoven2 min
  • 16:52CARK'Andre Miller · Interferencedrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min

3rd

  • 4:00CGYNazem Kadri · Roughingdrawn by K'Andre Miller2 min
  • 4:00CARK'Andre Miller · Roughingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

OT

  • 2:52CGYRasmus Andersson · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalCGY goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Nikolaj Ehlers, OT 2:52 — CAR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.38J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.23N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.23S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.18A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.18S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.14A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.13J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.12S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.12J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.11L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.09J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.09J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.08S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.08S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.07S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.07S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.06J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.06J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.06A. Nikishin · Missed · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.03E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.03S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.02J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.02W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.00J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.00S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.00K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.00
CAR1 G · 3.1 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsCAR
1.70 G
All situations
1 G3.1
1.20 G
Even strength
1 G2.9
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY24%76%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.63 – 3.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsCAR
16
Shots on goal
17
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/1
Power play
0/1
14
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
18
25
Blocked shots
7
22
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD000-110.030110—24:29
52M. WeegarD000020.13430—23:30
37Y. KuznetsovD000010.01330—22:58
7K. BahlD000000.00320—20:46
11M. BacklundC000000.000205219:53
20B. ColemanL000020.42210—18:06
91N. KadriC000-120.240123018:04
10J. HuberdeauL000010.11010—17:05
16M. FrostC000020.110105916:49
27M. CoronatoR000-120.22000—16:47
86J. FarabeeL000000.00020—16:31
47C. ZaryC000010.1311010016:08
17Y. SharangovichC000000.02100016:06
24J. BeanD000000.00020—15:08
44J. HanleyD000000.01310—14:20
15D. HuntL000010.10120—10:02
43A. KlapkaR000010.09222—09:04
18J. BeecherC000000.041002509:03
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1D. Cooley(O)17161.9413.08+2.0862:39

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).