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Anaheim Ducks at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV CHSN, Victory+·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-3. The Blackhawks came back from three goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor Bedard's goal at 9:55 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 52% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 3.5 to 2.3; shots on goal were ANA 26, CHI 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 13 of 16 (.813), 0.9 goals below expected; Spencer Knight stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Bedard (2 G, 2 A), 2. Ryan Greene (1 G), 3. Tyler Bertuzzi (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    C. Bedard2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CHI
    R. Greene1 G
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    T. Bertuzzi1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA3100709326
CHICHI152924518

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.10win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:15
  2. ANA
    snapxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    0:47
  3. ANA
    deflectedxG 0.27win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-0
    10:25
  4. CHI
    F. Nazar (12), C. Bedard (20)
    tip-inxG 0.19win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-1
    17:57

2nd period

  1. CHI
    snapxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    6:43
  2. CHI
    C. Dach(3)PPG
    snapxG 0.06win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-3
    12:34

3rd period

  1. CHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.34win prob +31 ptsVideo
    3-4
    9:55
  2. CHI
    C. Bedard(16)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.55win prob +4 ptsVideo
    3-5
    18:05

Penalties

ANA 8 PIM·CHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 13:55CHITeuvo Teravainen · Trippingdrawn by Beckett Sennecke2 min
  • 17:36ANARyan Strome · Cross checkingdrawn by Wyatt Kaiser2 min
  • 18:20ANABeckett Sennecke · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min

2nd

  • 11:00ANABeckett Sennecke · Slashingdrawn by Connor Bedard2 min
  • 14:30CHIFrank Nazar · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
  • 16:51CHIFrank Nazar · Cross checkingdrawn by Olen Zellweger2 min

3rd

  • 4:05ANADrew Helleson · Trippingdrawn by Artyom Levshunov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalANA goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Connor Bedard, 3rd 9:55 — CHI 52% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Bedard · Goal · xG 0.55T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.42C. Bedard · Goal · xG 0.34T. Bertuzzi · Goal · xG 0.19A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.14F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.13A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.12J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.11C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.11T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.10R. Greene · Goal · xG 0.10S. Rinzel · On goal · xG 0.09T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.07F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.07J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.07O. Moore · Missed · xG 0.07A. Levshunov · Missed · xG 0.06C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.06I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.06A. Levshunov · Missed · xG 0.06C. Dach · Goal · xG 0.06J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.05R. Greene · Missed · xG 0.05F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.05T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.04F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.04W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.04R. Greene · Missed · xG 0.03I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.03C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.03A. Levshunov · On goal · xG 0.03I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.02A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.02C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.02I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.02A. Levshunov · Missed · xG 0.01L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.01S. Rinzel · Missed · xG 0.00
CHI5 G · 3.5 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsCHI
2.33 G
All situations
4 G3.5
1.73 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.40 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA46%54%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.29 – 2.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsCHI
26
Shots on goal
18
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/3
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
15
9
Blocked shots
19
10
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. LaCombeD000-120.03110—21:38
19T. TerryR022+120.19010—21:31
91L. CarlssonC011000.000005921:16
98P. MintyukovD000010.03130—19:15
51O. ZellwegerD101+120.19000—18:49
65J. TroubaD000000.01100—18:48
20C. KreiderL101010.352003318:40
61C. GauthierL112+180.59100—18:33
23M. McTavishC011000.013007118:01
14D. HellesonD000-110.01102—17:47
7R. GudasD000+120.03510—16:24
45B. SenneckeR011010.21014—15:06
16R. StromeC000020.120025013:33
77F. VatranoR000010.08400—12:24
17A. KillornL000-110.03000—12:21
25R. PoehlingC000-120.360203311:31
44R. JohnstonL000000.04200—11:12
13N. NesterenkoC000-100.03100009:48
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek16133.8132.08-0.9248:27
33V. Husso(L)101.0000.41-0.5909:01

Season series

CHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).