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Ottawa Senators at Los Angeles Kings

FinalTV FDSNW, Prime·Crypto.com Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Ottawa Senators 2-1. The Kings scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandt Clarke's goal at 13:50 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 55% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were OTT 28, LAK 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Leevi Meriläinen stopped 20 of 22 (.909); Darcy Kuemper stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brandt Clarke (1 G), 2. Darcy Kuemper (27 saves, .964), 3. Warren Foegele (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    B. Clarke1 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    D. Kuemper27 saves, .964
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    W. Foegele1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT01101017128
LAKLAK0100527222

Scoring

3 goals

3rd period

  1. LAK
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +27 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:31
  2. OTT
    wristxG 0.30win prob +31 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:49
  3. LAK
    B. Clarke(3)PPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +33 ptsVideo
    1-2
    13:50

Penalties

OTT 6 PIM·LAK 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:22LAKQuinton Byfield · Trippingdrawn by Stephen Halliday2 min

2nd

  • 0:45LAKBrandt Clarke · Holdingdrawn by Michael Amadio2 min
  • 3:08OTTLars Eller · Slashingdrawn by Quinton Byfield2 min
  • 12:28OTTDylan Cozens · Interferencedrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min
  • 16:28LAKMikey Anderson · Holdingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min

3rd

  • 11:51OTTDylan Cozens · Trippingdrawn by Andrei Kuzmenko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalOTT goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Brandt Clarke, 3rd 13:50 — LAK 55% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.47A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.36A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.14W. Foegele · Goal · xG 0.14T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.12C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.11A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.11C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.09Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.09A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.08T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.06A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.06Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.05A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.05A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.05T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.04B. Clarke · Goal · xG 0.03A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.03T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.03C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.02B. Clarke · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kuzmenko · Missed · xG 0.01J. Moverare · On goal · xG 0.01B. Clarke · On goal · xG 0.01A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.01P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.00A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK2 G · 2.3 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsLAK
2.71 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.61 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.90 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT66%34%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.64 – 1.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsLAK
28
Shots on goal
22
69%
Faceoffs
31%
0/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
14
14
Blocked shots
8
12
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD000000.11110—25:56
18T. StützleC000040.393007722:48
12S. PintoC000020.201004420:40
28C. GirouxR000000.190006720:31
19D. BathersonR000-140.51100—19:54
24D. CozensC000010.132046719:12
43T. KlevenD000-100.02130—18:43
2A. ZubD000020.07230—18:28
10J. SpenceD000030.03000—18:18
22M. AmadioR000040.28210—15:59
3N. JensenD011000.03030—15:56
20F. ZetterlundL101+120.4211010015:38
89L. EllerC000000.000028815:28
33N. MatinpaloD011+120.18120—15:02
57D. PerronL000000.00200—11:46
21N. CousinsC000010.00200008:21
83S. HallidayC000-110.081005008:03
42H. HodgsonR000+120.07200—05:44
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Meriläinen(L)22202.9091.83-0.1757:34

Season series

LAK leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).