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St. Louis Blues at New York Rangers

FinalTV NHLN, FDSNMW·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2. The Blues scored first; the Rangers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexis Lafrenière's goal at 0:40 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 53% to 76%. Expected goals were close — STL 2.2, NYR 2.4; shots on goal were STL 21, NYR 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Joel Hofer stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.2 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Alexis Lafrenière (1 G), 2. Vladislav Gavrikov (2 A), 3. Vincent Trocheck (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Lafrenière1 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    V. Gavrikov2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    V. Trocheck1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL150719221
NYRNYR091725321

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    17:36

2nd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.07win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:06

3rd period

  1. NYR
    deflectedxG 0.11win prob +23 ptsVideo
    1-2
    0:40
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.18win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-3
    8:56
  3. STL
    wristxG 0.14win prob +3 ptsVideo
    2-3
    18:45

Penalties

STL 0 PIM·NYR 8 PIM

2nd

  • 12:29NYRBraden Schneider · High stickingdrawn by Jake Neighbours2 min

3rd

  • 14:09NYRBrett Berard · High sticking double minordrawn by Jake Neighbours4 min
  • 19:57NYRVincent Trocheck · High stickingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalSTL goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Alexis Lafrenière, 3rd 0:40 — NYR 53% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.57B. Berard · Missed · xG 0.31A. Edstrom · Goal · xG 0.18B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.16M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.16A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.11J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.10J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.10M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.09A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.09A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.07W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.06B. Berard · On goal · xG 0.05W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.04C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.02A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.02U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Berard · On goal · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.00U. Vaakanainen · Missed · xG 0.00M. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.00M. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR3 G · 2.4 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsNYR
2.22 G
All situations
3 G2.4
1.22 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 64 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL57%43%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.13 – 1.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsNYR
21
Shots on goal
21
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/4
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
31
19
Blocked shots
15
6
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD011+130.09010—24:11
18R. ThomasC000010.200106121:49
6P. BrobergD011000.00120—21:21
55C. ParaykoD011010.05130—20:56
17C. FowlerD000-120.04020—20:10
81D. HollowayL101+110.3420010020:04
25J. KyrouR000030.16000—18:47
10B. SchennC101+120.422108017:57
89P. BuchnevichL011+100.22010—17:48
22P. SuterC000020.280005616:13
63J. NeighboursL000-120.17000—15:51
21J. SnuggerudR000-110.12200—14:41
23L. MaillouxD000-210.02110—13:59
54D. DvorskyR000000.033101413:58
75T. TuckerD000010.00000—13:11
70O. SundqvistC000-100.001104312:18
26N. WalkerL000-100.003104010:32
13A. ToropchenkoR000-110.02240—09:14
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Hofer(L)21183.8571.81-1.1957:00

Season series

NYR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).