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Flyers at Lightning
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
0
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸3
FinalTV The Spot, NBCSP·Benchmark International Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-0. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Cirelli's goal at 16:00 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 73% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.4 to 1.7; shots on goal were PHI 20, TBL 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 15 of 17 (.882); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 20 of 20 (1.000), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (20 saves, 1.000), 2. Brandon Hagel (2 G, 1 A), 3. Nikita Kucherov (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy20 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    TBL
    B. Hagel2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI040709020
TBLTBL171516318

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    B. Hagel(10)
    E. Lilleberg (3), N. Kucherov (13)
    deflectedxG 0.26win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:34

2nd period

  1. TBL
    A. Cirelli(9)
    B. Hagel (11), N. Kucherov (14)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    16:00

3rd period

  1. TBL
    B. Hagel(11)EN
    N. Kucherov (15), A. Cirelli (7)
    wristxG 0.91Video
    0-3
    19:45

Penalties

PHI 9 PIM·TBL 7 PIM

1st

  • 9:21PHINicolas Deslauriers · Fightingdrawn by Curtis Douglas5 min
  • 9:21TBLCurtis Douglas · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers5 min

3rd

  • 7:00TBLCharle-Edouard D'Astous · High stickingdrawn by Jamie Drysdale2 min
  • 7:35PHITyson Foerster · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 16:06PHIEgor Zamula · Cross checkingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalPHI goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Anthony Cirelli, 2nd 16:00 — TBL 73% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.91B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.26N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.19B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.16D. James · On goal · xG 0.14B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.13C. Douglas · On goal · xG 0.13D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.12B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.11N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.11J. Finley · Missed · xG 0.11D. James · On goal · xG 0.10C. Douglas · On goal · xG 0.10D. James · Missed · xG 0.09A. Cirelli · Goal · xG 0.09J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.09A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.09J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.06J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.06C. D'Astous · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.04D. James · On goal · xG 0.04C. D'Astous · On goal · xG 0.04O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.04E. Lilleberg · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.03J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.03B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.03A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.02N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.01
TBL3 G · 3.4 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsTBL
1.70 G
All situations
2 G3.4
1.60 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 64 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI36%64%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.74 – 2.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsTBL
20
Shots on goal
18
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/1
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
7
22
Hits
20
12
Blocked shots
10
11
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. YorkD000-120.06000—26:10
6T. SanheimD000010.05000—24:39
9J. DrysdaleD000-330.15000—21:07
11T. KonecnyR000-120.1310010020:04
46T. ZegrasC000-130.13100019:33
71T. FoersterR000-130.23122—18:29
22C. DvorakC000-100.121006718:05
36E. AndraeD000-210.01100—17:58
27N. CatesL000000.033204516:53
14S. CouturierC000-230.361007116:26
10B. BrinkR000-210.09010—15:18
74O. TippettR000000.09210—15:11
24N. SeelerD000000.03110—15:07
39M. MichkovR000-210.25000—14:52
5E. ZamulaD000000.00012—14:47
19G. HathawayR000000.00410—08:57
18R. AbolsC000000.002104007:35
44N. DeslauriersL000000.00425—06:17
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Ersson(L)17152.8822.49+0.4958:32

Season series

TBL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).