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Minnesota Wild at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV NHLN, FDSNNO·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-0. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel Eriksson Ek's goal at 9:39 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 61% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.5 to 1.7; shots on goal were MIN 21, PIT 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 19 of 19 (1.000), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Sergei Murashov stopped 10 of 11 (.909), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Boldy (2 G, 1 A), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Boldy2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN392507521
PITPIT0306010019

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:57
  2. MIN
    Z. Buium (8), M. Boldy (12)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-0
    9:39
  3. MIN
    slapxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-0
    11:42

2nd period

  1. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +6 ptsVideo
    4-0
    1:09
  2. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-0
    17:46

Penalties

MIN 4 PIM·PIT 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:53PITBlake Lizotte · High sticking double minordrawn by Jake Middleton4 min
  • 13:44MINYakov Trenin · Trippingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min

2nd

  • 10:00MINJared Spurgeon · Slashingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min

3rd

  • 11:36PITConnor Dewar · Trippingdrawn by Brock Faber2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalMIN goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Joel Eriksson Ek, 1st 9:39 — MIN 61% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.14E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.12K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.12E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.12B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.12E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.11T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.10B. Kindel · Missed · xG 0.09D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.09S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.07B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.07T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.06C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.06S. Poulin · Missed · xG 0.05K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.05S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.05R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.04D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Koppanen · Missed · xG 0.03S. Poulin · Missed · xG 0.03D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.02B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.02A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.02B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.02C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.02S. Poulin · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.01T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01S. Poulin · Missed · xG 0.01R. Shea · Missed · xG 0.01P. Wotherspoon · Missed · xG 0.00S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.00R. Shea · Missed · xG 0.00
PIT0 G · 1.7 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsPIT
2.55 G
All situations
0 G1.7
1.94 G
Even strength
0 G1.5
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN65%35%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.52 – 1.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsPIT
21
Shots on goal
19
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
9
14
Blocked shots
13
18
Giveaways
22
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25J. BrodinD011+340.15030—22:22
7B. FaberD022+310.02100—22:20
8Z. BuiumD011000.00000—20:18
97K. KaprizovL112+220.32000—19:22
12M. BoldyL213+340.72100—19:13
46J. SpurgeonD000+100.00132—18:13
13Y. TreninC000000.048121418:00
36M. ZuccarelloR011+100.11000—17:19
24Z. BogosianD000000.00100—17:17
17M. FolignoL000010.26230—17:02
14J. Eriksson EkC112+320.320005916:38
5J. MiddletonD011+100.01210—15:23
90M. JohanssonL101+210.1900010015:06
22D. YurovR000+120.210103614:10
28L. OhgrenL000000.00210—13:31
19T. PitlickC000020.13110011:13
39B. JonesC000000.000005810:25
18V. HinostrozaC000020.07100008:08
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(W)191901.0001.75+1.7560:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).