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Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV CHSN, SNW·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Calgary Flames 5-2. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. The Blackhawks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor Bedard's goal at 4:57 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 2.5 to 1.6; shots on goal were CGY 21, CHI 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 2.0 goals below expected; Arvid Soderblom stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Connor Bedard (3 G), 2. Oliver Moore (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ryan Donato (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    C. Bedard3 G
  2. ★★
    CHI
    O. Moore1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    R. Donato1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY0417110221
CHICHI151939523

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:05

2nd period

  1. CHI
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    15:11
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:32

3rd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.04win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-2
    3:02
  2. CHI
    snapxG 0.10win prob +26 ptsVideo
    2-3
    4:57
  3. CHI
    pokexG 0.18win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-4
    13:04
  4. CHI
    C. Bedard(13)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.49Video
    2-5
    19:19

Penalties

CGY 62 PIM·CHI 60 PIM

1st

  • 10:42CHIConnor Bedard · Slashingdrawn by Matt Coronato2 min
  • 12:45CGYYegor Sharangovich · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Greene2 min
  • 15:05CGYserved by M. Coronato · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

2nd

  • 9:41CGYJake Bean · Trippingdrawn by Ilya Mikheyev2 min
  • 11:17CGYKevin Bahl · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:23CHIConnor Murphy · Cross checkingdrawn by Connor Zary2 min

3rd

  • 8:50CHIWyatt Kaiser · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:48CHIIlya Mikheyev · Roughingdrawn by Adam Klapka2 min
  • 10:48CGYAdam Klapka · Roughingdrawn by Ilya Mikheyev2 min
  • 14:46CHIColton Dach · Holdingdrawn by Adam Klapka2 min
  • 20:00CGYAdam Klapka · Roughingdrawn by Colton Dach2 min
  • 20:00CHISam Rinzel · Misconduct10 min
  • 20:00CHISam Lafferty · Misconduct10 min
  • 20:00CGYJake Bean · Misconduct10 min
  • 20:00CGYAdam Klapka · Misconduct10 min
  • 20:00CGYSam Morton · Misconduct10 min
  • 20:00CGYBrayden Pachal · Misconduct10 min
  • 20:00CGYRyan Lomberg · Misconduct10 min
  • 20:00CHIColton Dach · Misconduct10 min
  • 20:00CHIMatt Grzelcyk · Misconduct10 min
  • 20:00CHILandon Slaggert · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalCGY goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Connor Bedard, 3rd 4:57 — CHI 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Bedard · Goal · xG 0.49O. Moore · Goal · xG 0.18C. Bedard · Goal · xG 0.18R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.17I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.16C. Dach · On goal · xG 0.12R. Donato · Goal · xG 0.12A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.12F. Nazar · On goal · xG 0.12C. Murphy · Missed · xG 0.11C. Bedard · Goal · xG 0.10L. Slaggert · Missed · xG 0.08A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.07C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.06C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.05A. Levshunov · On goal · xG 0.04F. Nazar · On goal · xG 0.04L. Slaggert · On goal · xG 0.04S. Rinzel · On goal · xG 0.04C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.04S. Rinzel · Missed · xG 0.03A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.03M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.02S. Rinzel · Missed · xG 0.02L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.01C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.01A. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01A. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.01F. Nazar · On goal · xG 0.01
CHI5 G · 2.5 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsCHI
1.62 G
All situations
4 G2.5
1.01 G
Even strength
4 G1.5
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY41%59%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.59 – 2.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsCHI
21
Shots on goal
23
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/4
Power play
0/4
62
Penalty minutes
60
43
Hits
13
15
Blocked shots
11
9
Giveaways
19
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD112-120.13130—24:13
52M. WeegarD000-240.12310—24:09
10J. HuberdeauL000-200.04100—21:33
91N. KadriC011-310.143106219:31
7K. BahlD000-100.00422—19:07
27M. CoronatoR101-230.250006018:51
11M. BacklundC011+120.041005918:17
37Y. KuznetsovD000-100.04230—18:08
47C. ZaryC000020.08200015:17
20B. ColemanL000000.00510—15:00
43A. KlapkaR011-120.0311014—14:48
24J. BeanD000-100.000312—14:12
16M. FrostC000-320.200004313:48
17Y. SharangovichC000-310.11002012:44
94B. PachalD000-100.022110—12:30
45S. MortonC000000.3050108911:05
86J. FarabeeL000-210.03000—11:04
70R. LombergL000+110.063010—09:44
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32D. Wolf(L)22184.8182.03-1.9757:59

Season series

CHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).