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Vancouver Canucks at Florida Panthers

FinalTV SCRIPPS, SNP·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Vancouver Canucks 8-5. The Panthers came back from two goals down. The Panthers led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Bennett's goal at 4:02 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.1 to 1.9; shots on goal were VAN 15, FLA 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Jiri Patera stopped 33 of 40 (.825), 3.7 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 10 of 15 (.667), 3.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Seth Jones (2 G), 2. Sam Reinhart (3 A), 3. Elias Pettersson (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Jones2 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart3 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN251426515
FLAFLA211316314841

Scoring

13 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.20win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    14:50
  2. VAN
    snapxG 0.17win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-0
    15:14
  3. FLA
    snapxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    15:50
  4. FLA
    S. Jones(2)PPG
    snapxG 0.17win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:52

2nd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.22win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-3
    2:23
  2. FLA
    snapxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-4
    6:10
  3. FLA
    snapxG 0.08win prob +9 ptsVideo
    2-5
    7:17
  4. VAN
    E. Kane (7), Q. Hughes (19)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-5
    7:55

3rd period

  1. VAN
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    4-5
    1:24
  2. VAN
    F. Hronek(1)PPG
    snapxG 0.20win prob +22 ptsVideo
    5-5
    3:14
  3. FLA
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +26 ptsVideo
    5-6
    4:02
  4. FLA
    S. Jones(3)PPG
    snapxG 0.17win prob +12 ptsVideo
    5-7
    8:19
  5. FLA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.47win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-8
    18:14

Penalties

VAN 18 PIM·FLA 18 PIM

1st

  • 4:22VANMax Sasson · Trippingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 15:06FLAUvis Balinskis · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min
  • 19:02VANQuinn Hughes · Slashingdrawn by Mackie Samoskevich2 min
  • 19:52VANMarcus Pettersson · Hookingdrawn by Seth Jones2 min

2nd

  • 2:50FLASam Bennett · Roughingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min
  • 2:50VANKiefer Sherwood · Slashingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min
  • 2:50FLASam Bennett · Roughingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min
  • 14:47VANEvander Kane · Hookingdrawn by Jesper Boqvist2 min
  • 19:12FLANiko Mikkola · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min
  • 19:12FLANiko Mikkola · Boardingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min
  • 19:12VANTyler Myers · Roughingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min
  • 19:12VANTyler Myers · Roughingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min

3rd

  • 1:55FLAJeff Petry · High stickingdrawn by Jake DeBrusk2 min
  • 4:56FLAJesper Boqvist · Cross checkingdrawn by Filip Hronek2 min
  • 7:11VANMarcus Pettersson · Interferencedrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min
  • 13:13FLASam Bennett · Hookingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 16:36VANKiefer Sherwood · Boardingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 18:04FLAA.J. Greer · Interferencedrawn by Filip Hronek2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalVAN goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Sam Bennett, 3rd 4:02 — FLA 52% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.47B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.36B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.26J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.23L. Kunin · Goal · xG 0.22S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.18S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.17S. Jones · Goal · xG 0.17S. Jones · Goal · xG 0.17E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.13E. Rodrigues · Goal · xG 0.13A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.10S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.09S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.09E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lundell · Goal · xG 0.08A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.08A. Greer · Goal · xG 0.08S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.07A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.06S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.06M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.06S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.05G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.04M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.04M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.04B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.04M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.03M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.02J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.02N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.02S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.01J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.00S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA8 G · 4.1 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsFLA
1.95 G
All situations
7 G4.1
1.03 G
Even strength
5 G2.4
0.92 G
Power play
2 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN26%74%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.88 – 3.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsFLA
15
Shots on goal
41
52%
Faceoffs
48%
2/6
Power play
2/6
18
Penalty minutes
18
13
Hits
24
15
Blocked shots
20
10
Giveaways
10
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD033010.04032—29:39
17F. HronekD101+130.24210—25:10
40E. PetterssonC202020.140303221:24
6B. BoeserR000-100.1500010020:59
44K. SherwoodL022+110.17304—20:41
91E. KaneL022010.20012—19:45
57T. MyersD011-200.03144—19:05
74J. DeBruskL101-320.4600010016:55
29M. PetterssonD000-100.02014—16:36
63M. SassonC011+120.031126014:50
64D. KampfC000-300.000007314:08
18D. O'ConnorL101+120.31000—13:50
5T. WillanderD011-100.00000—11:50
94L. KarlssonC000-210.13100011:15
25E. PetterssonD000-200.00300—10:57
73L. ReichelL000-200.0010010009:34
20M. MacEachernL000-100.00110—08:44
54A. RätyC000-100.0200010007:51
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Patera(L)40337.8253.29-3.7156:49

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).