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New York Islanders at Utah Mammoth

Final/OTTV Utah16, MSGSN·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Utah Mammoth 3-2 in overtime, Matthew Schaefer scoring at 2:06. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Mammoth led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Schaefer's goal at 2:06 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 3.5 to 3.0; shots on goal were NYI 21, UTA 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. David Rittich stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Matthew Schaefer (1 G), 2. Dylan Guenther (1 G), 3. David Rittich (28 saves, .933).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    M. Schaefer1 G
  2. ★★
    UTA
    D. Guenther1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    D. Rittich28 saves, .933

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYINYI16071513321
UTAUTA2140100600230

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    snapxG 0.22win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:13
  2. UTA
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:02
  3. UTA
    slapxG 0.16win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:35

3rd period

  1. NYI
    Unassisted
    xG 0.16win prob +35 ptsVideo
    2-2
    13:44

Overtime

  1. NYI
    M. Barzal (10), B. Horvat (11)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    2:06

Penalties

NYI 22 PIM·UTA 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:56NYIAdam Boqvist · Holdingdrawn by Jack McBain2 min
  • 6:14UTALogan Cooley · Hookingdrawn by Adam Pelech2 min
  • 14:18UTAserved by M. Carcone · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 17:49NYIMatthew Schaefer · Interferencedrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 17:56NYISimon Holmstrom · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 10:19UTALogan Cooley · Hookingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 16:55NYITony DeAngelo · High stickingdrawn by Logan Cooley2 min

3rd

  • 2:37NYICalum Ritchie · Trippingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
  • 5:47NYITony DeAngelo · Hookingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 8:40UTAJack McBain · Interferencedrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 13:44NYITony DeAngelo · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalNYI goalFinal: UTA 0%

Biggest swing: Matthew Schaefer, OT 2:06 — NYI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.28L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.23L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.18L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.18D. Guenther · Goal · xG 0.16J. Peterka · Goal · xG 0.15B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.15M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.12N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.12J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.12N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.11C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.10J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.10L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.09B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.09L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.09C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.09M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.08N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.08C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.07D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.07N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.07L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.07N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.06D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.06D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.06M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.05B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.05B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.05K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.05I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.05N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.04C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.04J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.02M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.01J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.01K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.01J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.01M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.00I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.00J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.00K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA2 G · 3.5 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsUTA
3.03 G
All situations
2 G3.5
2.23 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.80 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI42%58%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.97 – 3.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsUTA
21
Shots on goal
30
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/4
Power play
1/6
22
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
13
11
Blocked shots
20
20
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48M. SchaeferD101+120.44012—25:49
3A. PelechD000+120.03320—22:58
28A. RomanovD011010.03010—22:41
14B. HorvatC011+220.310006220:53
13M. BarzalC011+120.331003320:36
29J. DrouinL101000.1601010020:07
10S. HolmstromR000020.39112—19:44
6R. PulockD000000.00210—19:42
21K. PalmieriC000030.22000017:53
44J. PageauC000010.142106417:00
51E. HeinemanL101+110.32300—14:54
27A. LeeL000010.111002514:03
77T. DeAngeloD011+220.171014—13:10
34A. BoqvistD000-100.00002—12:37
11A. DuclairL000000.00020—11:26
64C. RitchieC000010.150123308:50
53C. CizikasC000010.22200007:26
7M. TsyplakovR000000.00200—05:43
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(W)30282.9333.52+1.5262:06

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).