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Los Angeles Kings at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV FDSNW, SN-PIT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 3-2. The Penguins scored first; the Kings answered. The Penguins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Fiala's goal at 11:52 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 48% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were LAK 27, PIT 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Sergei Murashov stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kevin Fiala (1 G, 1 A), 2. Corey Perry (1 G, 1 A), 3. Tommy Novak (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    K. Fiala1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    C. Perry1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    T. Novak1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK1100928327
PITPIT11419010233

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.21win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:48
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.04win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-1
    14:58

2nd period

  1. PIT
    A. Mantha(8)PPG
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    7:48

3rd period

  1. LAK
    C. Ceci (3), T. Moore (2)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +26 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:49
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.12win prob +35 ptsVideo
    3-2
    11:52

Penalties

LAK 4 PIM·PIT 8 PIM

1st

  • 14:34PITSidney Crosby · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

2nd

  • 2:54PITRyan Graves · Interferencedrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 5:52LAKCody Ceci · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
  • 7:54PITDanton Heinen · High stickingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 11:20LAKBrandt Clarke · Hookingdrawn by Tommy Novak2 min
  • 16:40PITJoona Koppanen · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalLAK goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Kevin Fiala, 3rd 11:52 — LAK 48% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.29V. Koivunen · On goal · xG 0.28T. Novak · Goal · xG 0.21K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.20D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.19E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.19V. Koivunen · On goal · xG 0.14S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.14D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.13A. Mantha · Goal · xG 0.12E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.11E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.10C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.08S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.08B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.08A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.07B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.07T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.06S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.06E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.05B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.04R. Shea · Missed · xG 0.04R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.04C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.03D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.03E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.03K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.02C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.02A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.01V. Koivunen · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.01P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.00K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.00B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.00R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT2 G · 3.2 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsPIT
2.83 G
All situations
2 G3.2
1.62 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.31 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK32%68%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.02 – 3.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsPIT
27
Shots on goal
33
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/4
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
9
Hits
19
7
Blocked shots
17
15
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22K. FialaL112+170.54000—23:19
8D. DoughtyD011000.00030—23:16
44M. AndersonD000000.00120—22:26
55Q. ByfieldR000+130.211001821:13
12T. MooreL011+110.16200—18:32
9A. KempeR000-140.70000—18:11
14A. LaferriereR011+120.152007518:04
11A. KopitarC101-110.040006017:33
2B. DumoulinD000+100.09000—17:24
24P. DanaultC000+100.111004217:02
92B. ClarkeD000030.10102—16:47
6J. EdmundsonD000000.00100—15:56
10C. PerryR112+110.420005015:50
5C. CeciD011+100.00022—15:47
37W. FoegeleL000010.10000—11:14
40J. ArmiaR000-100.09000—09:23
96A. KuzmenkoL000020.08000—07:50
15A. TurcotteC000020.0300010006:17
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(W)33312.9393.19+1.1960:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).