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Pittsburgh Penguins at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV SN-PIT, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brad Lambert's goal at 2:43 of the first period, which took the Jets' chances from 65% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.1 to 2.7; shots on goal were PIT 30, WPG 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Arturs Silovs stopped 29 of 33 (.879); Eric Comrie stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kyle Connor (2 G), 2. Brad Lambert (1 G), 3. Vladislav Namestnikov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    K. Connor2 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    B. Lambert1 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    V. Namestnikov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT01111118230
WPGWPG28212114534

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.11win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:15
  2. WPG
    snapxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    2:43

2nd period

  1. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    1:17
  2. WPG
    K. Connor(7)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.31win prob +3 ptsVideo
    0-4
    12:13
  3. PIT
    S. Crosby(9)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-4
    19:48

3rd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.15win prob +3 ptsVideo
    2-4
    10:27
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.46Video
    2-5
    18:39

Penalties

PIT 8 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:39PITSidney Crosby · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 15:43PITEvgeni Malkin · Slashingdrawn by Logan Stanley2 min

2nd

  • 3:49PITKris Letang · Slashingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 10:30WPGDylan DeMelo · Interferencedrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 12:13PITArturs Silovs · Ps throwing object at puck0 min
  • 19:23WPGNeal Pionk · Holdingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min

3rd

  • 20:00PITParker Wotherspoon · Hookingdrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalPIT goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Brad Lambert, 1st 2:43 — WPG 65% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.46J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.32K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.31C. Koepke · On goal · xG 0.19M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.18K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.18B. Lambert · Goal · xG 0.17G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.14M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.14N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.13A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.12A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.11G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.11G. Vilardi · Goal · xG 0.11V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.11M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.10G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.10V. Namestnikov · Goal · xG 0.09C. Koepke · On goal · xG 0.08G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.08A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.07M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.06V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.05C. Koepke · On goal · xG 0.04M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.04A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.04N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.04A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.01L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.01K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.01P. Ford · On goal · xG 0.01V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG5 G · 4.1 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsWPG
2.72 G
All situations
4 G4.1
2.41 G
Even strength
4 G3.1
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT36%64%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.67 – 3.54

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsWPG
30
Shots on goal
34
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
29
14
Blocked shots
14
13
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD011-130.22020—27:00
58K. LetangD000-100.03122—21:55
28P. WotherspoonD000030.08222—21:48
5R. SheaD000000.03000—20:57
17B. RustR000-210.05110—20:13
87S. CrosbyC101-230.260125018:40
71E. MalkinC011-140.641027117:43
45H. BrunickeD000-200.00100—15:38
53P. TomasinoR000020.34210—15:25
39A. ManthaR000010.04020—14:50
81B. KindelC000-120.053108014:09
19C. DewarC011-210.00600013:32
11F. HallanderC000040.45010013:13
55N. AcciariC011-100.000005012:41
46B. LizotteC101-130.321104012:30
41V. KoivunenR000010.12000—12:18
18T. NovakC000010.030006711:32
38O. PickeringD000-210.02000—10:43
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37A. Silovs(L)33294.8793.67-0.3359:13

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).