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Avalanche at Devils
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
3
New Jersey Devils
▸4
Final/OTTV NHLN, ALT·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Colorado Avalanche 4-3 in overtime, Jack Hughes scoring at 1:53. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Hughes's goal at 1:53 of overtime, which took the Devils' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were COL 24, NJD 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Trent Miner stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.6 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 21 of 24 (.875). Three stars: 1. Jack Hughes (2 G), 2. Brock Nelson (1 G), 3. Connor Brown (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    J. Hughes2 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    B. Nelson1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    C. Brown1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
COLCOL210091500324
NJDNJD210130912424

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    A. Gritsyuk(2)
    T. Meier (5)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:09
  2. NJD
    J. Hughes(7)
    S. Nemec (5), B. Dillon (3)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    9:48
  3. COL
    V. Nichushkin(5)
    C. Makar (8), V. Olofsson (5)
    snapxG 0.29win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    12:55
  4. COL
    N. MacKinnon(7)
    A. Lehkonen (7), D. Toews (1)
    snapxG 0.25win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:03

2nd period

  1. NJD
    C. Brown(5)
    S. Nemec (6)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-3
    12:51

3rd period

  1. COL
    B. Nelson(2)
    R. Colton (3), S. Malinski (4)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +35 ptsVideo
    3-3
    13:55

Overtime

  1. NJD
    J. Hughes(8)
    S. Nemec (7)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    1:53

Penalties

COL 2 PIM·NJD 4 PIM

2nd

  • 7:28COLBrock Nelson · Trippingdrawn by Arseny Gritsyuk2 min
  • 8:26NJDTimo Meier · High stickingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 13:56NJDLuke Hughes · Interferencedrawn by Martin Necas2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalCOL goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Jack Hughes, OT 1:53 — NJD 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.18P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.18J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.16T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.16J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.15C. Brown · Goal · xG 0.14J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.13J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.13P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.12A. Gritsyuk · Goal · xG 0.10T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.10T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.10L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.08D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.08C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.08J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.05A. Gritsyuk · Missed · xG 0.04A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.04T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.03S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.03J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.03L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.03D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.03A. Gritsyuk · Missed · xG 0.03B. Halonen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.02C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02S. Nemec · Missed · xG 0.02A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.01B. Halonen · Missed · xG 0.01S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.01C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.00J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD4 G · 2.4 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsNJD
3.13 G
All situations
4 G2.4
2.63 G
Even strength
4 G2.4
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL62%38%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.05 – 2.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsNJD
24
Shots on goal
24
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
22
Hits
20
17
Blocked shots
20
16
Giveaways
15
7
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD011020.17140—27:38
7D. ToewsD011+120.34010—24:36
88M. NecasC000-100.00300023:55
29N. MacKinnonC101-140.620004521:39
42J. MansonD000-110.08410—19:41
84B. BurnsD000030.07000—19:34
62A. LehkonenL011000.00010—18:33
13V. NichushkinR101+130.6400010017:47
11B. NelsonC101+120.320023117:40
18J. DruryC000-110.160307316:22
70S. MalinskiD011000.00040—15:29
92G. LandeskogL000-120.0520010015:10
20R. ColtonC011010.055105014:39
95V. OlofssonL011020.44110—13:54
15J. AhcanD000-100.02300—11:58
17P. KellyC000000.00110009:30
54G. BrindleyC000010.03100008:40
93Z. BardakovC000000.101004006:54
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50T. Miner(O)24204.8332.41-1.5961:53

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).