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Blackhawks at Lightning
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Tampa Bay Lightning

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Chicago Blackhawks
▸3
Tampa Bay Lightning
2
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Benchmark International Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 3-2. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Donato's goal at 19:06 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 48% to 97%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were CHI 25, TBL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Spencer Knight stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 22 of 25 (.880). Three stars: 1. Ryan Donato (2 G), 2. Ryan McDonagh (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nikita Kucherov (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    R. Donato2 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    R. McDonagh1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI1716112325
TBLTBL01121109231

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    F. Nazar(4)PPG
    T. Bertuzzi (4), T. Teravainen (6)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    10:41

2nd period

  1. TBL
    J. Guentzel(2)
    R. McDonagh (2), N. Kucherov (2)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:57
  2. CHI
    R. Donato(4)
    L. Reichel (2)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-1
    10:16
  3. TBL
    R. McDonagh(3)
    N. Kucherov (3), B. Point (4)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:18

3rd period

  1. CHI
    R. Donato(5)
    F. Nazar (5), T. Teravainen (7)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-2
    19:06

Penalties

CHI 8 PIM·TBL 12 PIM

1st

  • 10:26TBLEmil Lilleberg · Interferencedrawn by Landon Slaggert2 min
  • 15:10CHINick Foligno · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Mitchell Chaffee2 min
  • 15:46TBLJake Guentzel · Holdingdrawn by Ilya Mikheyev2 min
  • 16:43CHIserved by R. Donato · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 2:36TBLDarren Raddysh · Holdingdrawn by Wyatt Kaiser2 min
  • 4:00TBLYanni Gourde · High sticking double minordrawn by Connor Bedard4 min
  • 8:21CHILandon Slaggert · Hookingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 12:48TBLEmil Lilleberg · High stickingdrawn by Frank Nazar2 min
  • 13:38CHISam Rinzel · Holdingdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalCHI goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan Donato, 3rd 19:06 — CHI 48% → 97%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Chaffee · On goal · xG 0.36Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.24B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.13O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.13R. McDonagh · Goal · xG 0.12J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.12M. Chaffee · On goal · xG 0.12N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.11C. Douglas · Missed · xG 0.11G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.11B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.11P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.10N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.10N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.09A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.09N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.09N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.07O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.07D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.06M. Chaffee · On goal · xG 0.06D. James · Missed · xG 0.06V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.06J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.05B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.05P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.05V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.04O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.03V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.03D. James · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.02B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.02V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.02D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.02D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.02J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.01J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.01P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.01J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.01B. Point · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.01J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.01B. Point · Missed · xG 0.01E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.00R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL2 G · 3.2 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsTBL
2.83 G
All situations
2 G3.2
2.12 G
Even strength
2 G2.9
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI44%56%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.75 – 3.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsTBL
25
Shots on goal
31
39%
Faceoffs
61%
1/5
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
12
18
Hits
18
15
Blocked shots
7
14
Giveaways
12
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98C. BedardC000030.351002522:32
72A. VlasicD000000.01010—22:19
91F. NazarC112+140.461103321:33
86T. TeravainenC022+110.08000020:41
44W. KaiserD000-120.25010—20:20
95I. MikheyevR000020.28010—18:21
6S. RinzelD000020.10012—17:35
5C. MurphyD000000.03140—16:35
17N. FolignoL000-110.052024516:17
59T. BertuzziL011-110.06000—16:07
8R. DonatoC202+130.27100015:05
34C. DachC000010.29410014:17
46L. CrevierD000010.01020—13:22
55A. LevshunovD000000.03210—12:29
84L. SlaggertL000020.24502—11:22
48M. GrzelcykD000+110.01000—11:11
20R. GreeneC000010.191008010:59
73L. ReichelL011-100.06020—10:58
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30S. Knight(W)31292.9353.18+1.1860:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).