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Anaheim Ducks at Boston Bruins

FinalTV Victory+, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Boston Bruins 7-5. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Troy Terry's goal at 15:27 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 48% to 89%. Expected goals were close — ANA 3.7, BOS 3.6; shots on goal were ANA 30, BOS 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 37 of 42 (.881), 1.4 goals below expected; Joonas Korpisalo stopped 23 of 29 (.793), 2.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mikael Granlund (2 G, 3 A), 2. Troy Terry (1 G, 1 A), 3. David Pastrnak (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    M. Granlund2 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    T. Terry1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA11226412730
BOSBOS12021329542

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.40win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:10
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:06

2nd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.09win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-2
    8:49
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.04win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-2
    11:29
  3. ANA
    snapxG 0.17win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    15:24
  4. BOS
    M. Lohrei(1)PPG
    snapxG 0.04win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-3
    17:10

3rd period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.14win prob +21 ptsVideo
    4-3
    2:52
  2. ANA
    snapxG 0.23win prob +16 ptsVideo
    5-3
    7:49
  3. BOS
    wristxG 0.03win prob +8 ptsVideo
    5-4
    14:32
  4. BOS
    wristxG 0.11win prob +39 ptsVideo
    5-5
    14:57
  5. ANA
    wristxG 0.17win prob +41 ptsVideo
    6-5
    15:27
  6. ANA
    wristxG 0.57win prob +7 ptsVideo
    7-5
    17:52

Penalties

ANA 9 PIM·BOS 11 PIM

1st

  • 14:29BOSElias Lindholm · Interferencedrawn by Olen Zellweger2 min

2nd

  • 12:14BOSTanner Jeannot · Fightingdrawn by Ross Johnston5 min
  • 12:14ANARoss Johnston · Fightingdrawn by Tanner Jeannot5 min
  • 16:56ANAPavel Mintyukov · High stickingdrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min

3rd

  • 1:37BOSViktor Arvidsson · Trippingdrawn by Cutter Gauthier2 min
  • 5:18BOSCharlie McAvoy · Interferencedrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 14:24ANACutter Gauthier · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalANA goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Troy Terry, 3rd 15:27 — ANA 48% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Mittelstadt · Goal · xG 0.40F. Minten · On goal · xG 0.27V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.21F. Minten · On goal · xG 0.21D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.19J. Viel · Missed · xG 0.17S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.15J. Viel · On goal · xG 0.12P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.12F. Minten · Missed · xG 0.11S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.11M. Geekie · Goal · xG 0.11M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.10J. Viel · On goal · xG 0.10F. Minten · On goal · xG 0.09M. Geekie · Goal · xG 0.08E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.08P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.07M. Callahan · On goal · xG 0.06A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.05J. Viel · Missed · xG 0.05P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.05M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.05J. Viel · Missed · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.04V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.04V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Lohrei · Goal · xG 0.04M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.04M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.03F. Minten · Missed · xG 0.03S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.03M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.03E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.02M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.02J. Viel · On goal · xG 0.02M. Callahan · On goal · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · Missed · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.01S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.01A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.01C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.01S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kastelic · Missed · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.01P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.00M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.00M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.00A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS5 G · 3.6 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsBOS
3.76 G
All situations
5 G3.6
2.45 G
Even strength
3 G3.6
0.81 G
Power play
2 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 104 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA45%55%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.16 – 3.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsBOS
30
Shots on goal
42
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/3
Power play
2/2
9
Penalty minutes
11
17
Hits
18
22
Blocked shots
15
20
Giveaways
18
1
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65J. TroubaD112+320.21350—28:34
2J. LaCombeD011+220.07020—24:05
51O. ZellwegerD000+300.04020—21:26
14D. HellesonD101020.04120—21:18
64M. GranlundC235+451.030104520:46
19T. TerryR112+430.57000—19:46
91L. CarlssonC011+140.470104018:44
17A. KillornL000+120.221103317:31
61C. GauthierL101+130.43102—17:14
98P. MintyukovD000-110.07032—15:54
13N. NesterenkoC044+420.14110015:17
45B. SenneckeR000-200.00220—14:10
12S. ColangeloR101010.31010—13:14
23M. McTavishC000-200.022005312:56
77F. VatranoR011-230.05400—12:39
44R. JohnstonL000000.07105—11:20
25R. PoehlingC011000.000103311:07
7R. GudasD000-100.01100—03:49
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(W)42375.8813.62-1.3859:48

Season series

ANA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).