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Edmonton Oilers at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV MSGSN, SN·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-3. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor Brown's goal at 10:37 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 77% to 95%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.3 to 2.3; shots on goal were EDM 30, NJD 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 1.2 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Hughes (2 G, 1 A), 2. Connor Brown (1 G), 3. Jesper Bratt (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    J. Hughes2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    C. Brown1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Bratt1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM0911328330
NJDNJD0421435523

Scoring

8 goals

2nd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.09win prob +18 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:07
  2. NJD
    J. Bratt(3)PPG
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    16:02
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:16

3rd period

  1. NJD
    C. Brown(3)SHG
    wristxG 0.16win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-3
    10:37
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.26win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-4
    12:33
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.15win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-4
    16:30
  4. NJD
    wristxG 0.52Video
    2-5
    18:53
  5. EDM
    wristxG 0.05Video
    3-5
    19:57

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·NJD 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:34NJDDawson Mercer · High stickingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min
  • 13:43EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Trippingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min

2nd

  • 2:06NJDJesper Bratt · Trippingdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min
  • 15:58EDMMattias Ekholm · Holdingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min

3rd

  • 10:02NJDCody Glass · High stickingdrawn by Trent Frederic2 min
  • 13:06EDMTroy Stecher · High stickingdrawn by Paul Cotter2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalEDM goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Connor Brown, 3rd 10:37 — NJD 77% → 95%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Mercer · Goal · xG 0.52J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.26N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.20J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.18N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.16C. Brown · Goal · xG 0.16N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.14N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.14O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.13J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.12J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.11O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.11D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.11J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.09O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.09C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.09P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.09T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.09L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.08P. Cotter · Missed · xG 0.06B. Halonen · On goal · xG 0.06J. Bratt · Goal · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.05C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.05B. Halonen · Missed · xG 0.04N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.04A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.02A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.01L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01A. Gritsyuk · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.01L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.00C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD5 G · 3.3 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsNJD
2.33 G
All situations
4 G3.3
1.43 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM40%60%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.26 – 2.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsNJD
30
Shots on goal
23
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
24
13
Blocked shots
15
25
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD000-140.34020—25:31
97C. McDavidC022-120.100005522:25
29L. DraisaitlC000-120.291006922:20
14M. EkholmD000-140.14112—22:00
25D. NurseD011020.01220—20:21
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC202-130.38012019:25
27B. KulakD000010.01100—18:01
92V. PodkolzinR000010.01420—17:29
22M. SavoieC000020.20210014:34
51T. StecherD000+110.01002—14:07
49T. EmbersonD011010.02200—14:02
42K. KapanenR000-110.01210—13:43
28J. RoslovicC011+130.390006712:59
86D. TomasekR000000.040004012:56
10T. FredericC000010.022105012:40
88A. MangiapaneL000-200.13000—12:32
19A. HenriqueC011+110.131205012:27
20C. LazarC101010.052006010:21
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Pickard(L)22184.8182.81-1.1958:03

Season series

NJD leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).