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Avalanche at Blue Jackets
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
Columbus Blue Jackets
1
FinalTV FDSNOH, ALT·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-1. The Blue Jackets scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Avalanche led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock Nelson's goal at 11:46 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were COL 36, CBJ 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Elvis Merzlikins stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Scott Wedgewood (22 saves, .957), 2. Brock Nelson (1 G), 3. Elvis Merzlikins (32 saves, .914).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    S. Wedgewood22 saves, .957
  2. ★★
    COL
    B. Nelson1 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    E. Merzlikins32 saves, .914

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL012314110436
CBJCBJ071709123

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    I. Provorov(1)
    K. Marchenko (1)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:36
  2. COL
    C. Makar(2)
    M. Necas (6), A. Lehkonen (2)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:34
  3. COL
    B. Nelson(1)
    B. Burns (3), J. Manson (1)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-1
    11:46
  4. COL
    V. Nichushkin(1)
    S. Malinski (2), V. Olofsson (3)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    19:56

3rd period

  1. COL
    V. Nichushkin(2)EN
    G. Landeskog (1), C. Makar (5)
    wristxG 0.94Video
    4-1
    18:07

Penalties

COL 4 PIM·CBJ 2 PIM

1st

  • 17:32COLBrent Burns · Hookingdrawn by Mathieu Olivier2 min

3rd

  • 3:20COLMartin Necas · Hookingdrawn by Egor Chinakhov2 min
  • 7:47CBJDmitri Voronkov · Holdingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalCOL goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: Brock Nelson, 2nd 11:46 — COL 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.25Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.13D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.13A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.12B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.12M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.12C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.12B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.11A. Fantilli · Missed · xG 0.11K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.09C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.08D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.08A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.06I. Provorov · Goal · xG 0.06Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.06K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.06C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.05K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.04A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.04M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Aston-Reese · Missed · xG 0.03D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.03D. Mateychuk · Missed · xG 0.02D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.02B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.02D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.01S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.01J. Christiansen · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.00C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.00S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.00D. Mateychuk · On goal · xG 0.00K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ1 G · 2.2 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsCBJ
4.63 G
All situations
1 G2.2
3.53 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL71%29%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.49 – 2.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsCBJ
36
Shots on goal
23
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
13
Hits
12
14
Blocked shots
20
20
Giveaways
22
6
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. ToewsD000+110.10000—23:49
8C. MakarD112+230.29010—23:19
84B. BurnsD011+130.02022—20:54
88M. NecasC011+100.01012019:51
42J. MansonD011010.18030—19:29
29N. MacKinnonC000+120.601305318:24
62A. LehkonenL011+120.41120—18:03
13V. NichushkinR202+241.20100—17:21
11B. NelsonC101+220.442104716:46
70S. MalinskiD011+230.09100—16:39
92G. LandeskogL011+100.0010010016:07
18J. DruryC000010.051007014:33
28I. SolovyovD000000.07000—13:41
95V. OlofssonL011+150.63000—12:57
20R. ColtonC000050.30200012:09
17P. KellyC000020.221005711:09
94J. KivirantaL000000.00210—10:29
54G. BrindleyC000020.04000010:20
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41S. Wedgewood(W)23221.9572.23+1.2360:00

Season series

COL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).