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Seattle Kraken at Montréal Canadiens

Final/OTTV KHN/Prime, KONG·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Seattle Kraken 5-4 in overtime, Cole Caufield scoring at 3:25. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Caufield's goal at 3:25 of overtime, which took the Canadiens' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 2.4 to 1.8; shots on goal were SEA 22, MTL 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Joey Daccord stopped 17 of 22 (.773), 2.6 goals below expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cole Caufield (2 G), 2. Ivan Demidov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jared McCann (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    C. Caufield2 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    I. Demidov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    J. McCann1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
SEASEA042122600422
MTLMTL141112611522

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:37

2nd period

  1. SEA
    snapxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:33
  2. MTL
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.13win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    7:12
  3. SEA
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:52

3rd period

  1. MTL
    deflectedxG 0.19win prob +24 ptsVideo
    2-3
    1:12
  2. SEA
    snapxG 0.03win prob +26 ptsVideo
    3-3
    4:48
  3. SEA
    wristxG 0.11win prob +30 ptsVideo
    4-3
    7:56
  4. MTL
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +43 ptsVideo
    4-4
    17:19

Overtime

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.11win prob +49 ptsVideo
    4-5
    3:25

Penalties

SEA 6 PIM·MTL 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:32SEAJosh Mahura · Trippingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
  • 10:01MTLCole Caufield · Slashingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min
  • 11:06SEAVince Dunn · Interferencedrawn by Jake Evans2 min
  • 11:40MTLIvan Demidov · Interferencedrawn by Eeli Tolvanen2 min

2nd

  • 2:09MTLMike Matheson · Trippingdrawn by Jamie Oleksiak2 min
  • 11:38MTLJuraj Slafkovský · Hookingdrawn by Jamie Oleksiak2 min

3rd

  • 15:14SEAMason Marchment · Holdingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalSEA goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Cole Caufield, OT 3:25 — MTL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.26K. Dach · Goal · xG 0.19P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.18N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.14A. Newhook · Goal · xG 0.13C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.13I. Demidov · Goal · xG 0.11C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.11N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.10J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.10B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.08N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.07P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.07I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.07P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.06J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.05B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.05L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.04K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.04K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.04K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.02A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.02K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.01K. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.01A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.01K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.00
MTL5 G · 2.4 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsMTL
1.84 G
All situations
5 G2.4
1.33 G
Even strength
5 G2.0
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA39%61%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.82 – 2.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsMTL
22
Shots on goal
22
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/4
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
32
Hits
25
17
Blocked shots
23
14
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD011+130.21210—23:20
9C. StephensonC000-120.230203721:26
6A. LarssonD000-400.00030—21:11
29V. DunnD011-220.12112—20:54
17J. SchwartzL101-110.17210—19:15
55R. LindgrenD011000.00110—18:39
10M. BeniersC000-120.081003318:18
28J. MahuraD011+110.07212—17:38
7J. EberleR000+130.1221010017:25
24J. OleksiakD101020.04130—17:11
20E. TolvanenR000-110.20500—16:17
19J. McCannL112030.3510010015:50
89F. GaudreauC011+100.001205714:35
12T. KartyeL011+110.02600—13:47
26R. WintertonC000-100.02300013:45
51S. WrightC011-100.041002913:15
27M. MarchmentL000-200.0421210011:58
38J. NymanR101+110.1210010009:31
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Daccord(O)22175.7732.39-2.6163:25

Season series

MTL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).