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Flyers at Hurricanes
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
3
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
Final/OTTV FDSNSO, NBCSP·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-3 in overtime, Seth Jarvis scoring at 4:43. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Hurricanes led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Seth Jarvis's goal at 4:43 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 5.3 to 3.1; shots on goal were PHI 23, CAR 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 35 of 39 (.897), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 20 of 23 (.870). Three stars: 1. Seth Jarvis (1 G), 2. Jordan Staal (1 G), 3. Logan Stankoven (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Jarvis1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Staal1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    L. Stankoven1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PHIPHI161121500323
CARCAR01531201111439

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    O. Tippett(1)PPG
    T. Konecny (1), T. Zegras (1)
    wristxG 0.39win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    19:38

2nd period

  1. CAR
    L. Stankoven(1)
    J. Blake (2), A. Nikishin (2)
    snapxG 0.38win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:46
  2. PHI
    B. Brink(1)
    N. Cates (1), N. Grebenkin (1)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:18
  3. CAR
    T. Hall(2)
    E. Robinson (1)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-2
    9:07
  4. CAR
    J. Staal(1)
    J. Martinook (2)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-3
    18:30

3rd period

  1. PHI
    T. Sanheim(1)
    B. Brink (1), T. Foerster (2)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +38 ptsVideo
    3-3
    16:00

Overtime

  1. CAR
    S. Jarvis(3)
    S. Aho (3), S. Gostisbehere (3)
    slapxG 0.18win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    4:43

Penalties

PHI 10 PIM·CAR 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:09PHITravis Konecny · Interferencedrawn by Jalen Chatfield2 min
  • 11:08PHIEgor Zamula · Trippingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min
  • 16:14PHINoah Cates · Slashingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min
  • 17:53PHIGarnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min
  • 17:53CARJackson Blake · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 19:29CARJalen Chatfield · Trippingdrawn by Noah Cates2 min

2nd

  • 13:25CARK'Andre Miller · Interferencedrawn by Bobby Brink2 min

3rd

  • 2:11PHIMatvei Michkov · Roughingdrawn by William Carrier2 min
  • 11:42CARJalen Chatfield · Trippingdrawn by Noah Cates2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalPHI goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Seth Jarvis, OT 4:43 — CAR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Stankoven · Goal · xG 0.38J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.31W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.28J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.22S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.21S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.19T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.18S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.18N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.17J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.16A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.16A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.16J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.15S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.14J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.13T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.12A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.12J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.11J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.10J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.09A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.09S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.09L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.08J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.08N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.08S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.07J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.07J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.07K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.06S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.06E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.06S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.05S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.05S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.05J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.04J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.04J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.03E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.00
CAR4 G · 5.3 xG · 65 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsCAR
3.13 G
All situations
4 G5.3
2.22 G
Even strength
4 G3.4
0.81 G
Power play
0 G1.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI20%80%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.92 – 5.14

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsCAR
23
Shots on goal
39
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/3
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
27
Hits
24
21
Blocked shots
13
17
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD101-120.09040—29:34
9J. DrysdaleD000-100.00110—23:08
24N. SeelerD000-120.00620—22:56
14S. CouturierC000-210.022205520:05
46T. ZegrasC011030.050005719:22
22C. DvorakC000010.221105318:41
74O. TippettR101020.46210—18:09
10B. BrinkR112040.71200—17:44
71T. FoersterR011+130.43110—17:37
11T. KonecnyR011-120.32122—16:49
5E. ZamulaD000000.00012—16:46
27N. CatesL011+130.511023216:20
47N. JuulsenD000000.00030—14:22
13A. GinningD000000.00110—14:21
39M. MichkovR000-100.00002—13:27
19G. HathawayR000-100.18712—10:32
29N. GrebenkinR011-100.07110—08:36
17J. LuchankoC000-100.001005007:40
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Ersson(O)39354.8975.33+1.3364:43

Season series

CAR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).