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Blue Jackets at Predators
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
1
Nashville Predators
▸2
FinalTV FDSNSO, FDSNOH·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 2-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan O'Reilly's goal at 2:41 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 58% to 77%. Expected goals were close — CBJ 2.7, NSH 2.9; shots on goal were CBJ 39, NSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Jet Greaves stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Juuse Saros stopped 38 of 39 (.974), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Juuse Saros (38 saves, .974), 2. Ryan O'Reilly (1 G), 3. Michael Bunting (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    J. Saros38 saves, .974
  2. ★★
    NSH
    R. O'Reilly1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    M. Bunting1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ115014010139
NSHNSH1909114232

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    M. Bunting(1)
    E. Haula (1)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:45
  2. CBJ
    D. Voronkov(1)
    D. Severson (1), D. Mateychuk (1)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:01

3rd period

  1. NSH
    R. O'Reilly(1)PPG
    F. Forsberg (1), R. Josi (1)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-2
    2:41

Penalties

CBJ 10 PIM·NSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:08NSHMichael Bunting · Slashingdrawn by Dante Fabbro2 min
  • 10:08CBJDante Fabbro · Interferencedrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 12:43CBJBoone Jenner · Trippingdrawn by Spencer Stastney2 min

2nd

  • 8:48CBJSean Monahan · High stickingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min
  • 10:27CBJIsac Lundeström · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min
  • 16:55NSHMichael McCarron · Trippingdrawn by Zachary Aston-Reese2 min

3rd

  • 2:07CBJZachary Aston-Reese · Trippingdrawn by Justin Barron2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCBJ goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan O'Reilly, 3rd 2:41 — NSH 58% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.24M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.22R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.21S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.18F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.15M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.14F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.13J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.12J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.12F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.11F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.10C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.10R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.07M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.07F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.06M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.05M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.05S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.05M. Bunting · Goal · xG 0.05B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.05J. Barron · Missed · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.04B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.04S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.04T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.03T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Barron · Missed · xG 0.02C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kemell · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kemell · Missed · xG 0.01N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01A. Wilsby · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH2 G · 2.9 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsNSH
2.71 G
All situations
2 G2.9
2.61 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.10 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ46%54%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.65 – 2.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsNSH
39
Shots on goal
32
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/1
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
4
28
Hits
22
15
Blocked shots
19
18
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD000050.16120—27:16
9I. ProvorovD000040.08000—24:27
78D. SeversonD011+120.06020—19:57
86K. MarchenkoR000+180.77020—17:10
38B. JennerC000-110.02312017:03
23S. MonahanC000+120.011025316:58
3C. CoyleC000010.104006116:53
44E. GudbransonD000-120.10300—16:11
19A. FantilliC000-130.242104515:31
10D. VoronkovL101+120.33200—15:21
15D. FabbroD000010.01132—15:13
5D. MateychukD011000.00120—14:30
91K. JohnsonC000030.09100014:29
24M. OlivierR000020.23300—14:18
4C. SillingerC000-110.40200014:01
21I. LundestromC000000.001126711:53
11M. WoodL000010.08100—11:25
27Z. Aston-ReeseL000010.01212—10:02
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
73J. Greaves(L)32302.9382.90+0.9058:48

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).