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Red Wings at Panthers
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
1
Florida Panthers
▸4
FinalTV FDSNDET, SCRIPPS·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-1. The Red Wings scored first; the Panthers answered. The Panthers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mackie Samoskevich's goal at 8:46 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.7 to 1.9; shots on goal were DET 23, FLA 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.3 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brad Marchand (1 G), 2. Uvis Balinskis (2 A), 3. Mackie Samoskevich (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    B. Marchand1 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    U. Balinskis2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    M. Samoskevich1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET1601205123
FLAFLA01031219431

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    A. DeBrincat(36)
    D. Larkin (37), B. Chiarot (9)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:13

2nd period

  1. FLA
    E. Rodrigues(15)PPG
    N. Schmidt (14), G. Forsling (18)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:58
  2. FLA
    M. Samoskevich(15)
    G. Forsling (19), U. Balinskis (12)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-2
    8:46
  3. FLA
    B. Marchand(22)
    U. Balinskis (13), E. Luostarinen (15)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    16:21

3rd period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(20)
    S. Jones (25), S. Reinhart (42)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-4
    14:03

Penalties

DET 2 PIM·FLA 14 PIM

1st

  • 14:45FLANiko Mikkola · Holdingdrawn by Marco Kasper2 min

2nd

  • 1:23DETMichael Rasmussen · Holdingdrawn by Uvis Balinskis2 min

3rd

  • 19:33FLAA.J. Greer · Roughingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 19:33FLAA.J. Greer · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalDET goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Mackie Samoskevich, 2nd 8:46 — FLA 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.22A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.22B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.19J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.18E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.15J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.14E. Rodrigues · Goal · xG 0.13S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.13M. Samoskevich · Goal · xG 0.09J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.08N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.08A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.07E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.07J. Gadjovich · Missed · xG 0.06S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.06A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.05T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.05A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.05J. Gadjovich · Missed · xG 0.04M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.04E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.04A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gadjovich · On goal · xG 0.03T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.03J. Gadjovich · Missed · xG 0.03M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.03A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.03S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.02U. Balinskis · Missed · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.02N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.01J. Gadjovich · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gadjovich · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.01J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gadjovich · On goal · xG 0.00S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.00N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.00
FLA4 G · 2.7 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsFLA
1.91 G
All situations
4 G2.7
1.61 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET34%66%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.85 – 2.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsFLA
23
Shots on goal
31
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
14
16
Hits
33
18
Blocked shots
14
8
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD000-230.10420—23:53
77S. EdvinssonD000030.10120—21:09
88P. KaneR000-140.50210—19:53
8B. ChiarotD011-210.02040—19:48
46J. PetryD000010.03130—19:34
71D. LarkinC011-110.090105619:11
93A. DeBrincatR101-130.28000—18:26
20A. JohanssonD000000.02010—17:45
3J. HollD000010.01000—16:18
23L. RaymondL000020.15110—15:59
92M. KasperC000010.141105715:03
27M. RasmussenC000010.20102014:41
37J. CompherL000-100.000003614:25
48J. BerggrenR000-100.00210—13:19
14T. MotteC000010.001004613:10
11V. TarasenkoR000-100.14010—12:31
15C. SmithC000010.09000011:49
24A. WatsonL000000.0120010011:31
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Talbot(L)31274.8712.72-1.2860:00

Season series

DET leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).