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San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild

Final/OTTV FDSNNO, NBCSCA·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the San Jose Sharks 8-7 in overtime, Kirill Kaprizov scoring at 1:01. The lead changed hands 5 times. The Wild led 5-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Kaprizov's goal at 1:01 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 4.1 to 3.0; shots on goal were SJS 31, MIN 44. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 36 of 44 (.818), 3.9 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 24 of 31 (.774), 4.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Joel Eriksson Ek (4 G), 2. Matt Boldy (4 A), 3. Kirill Kaprizov (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek4 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Boldy4 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
SJSSJS1103143700731
MINMIN21731521111844

Scoring

15 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    12:11
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    14:16
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:48

2nd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.20win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    7:29
  2. MIN
    M. Foligno (14), M. Boldy (43)
    wristxG 0.32win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-3
    7:47
  3. SJS
    wristxG 0.55win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-3
    8:35
  4. SJS
    wristxG 0.08win prob +20 ptsVideo
    4-3
    12:28
  5. MIN
    wristxG 0.13win prob +22 ptsVideo
    4-4
    17:02
  6. MIN
    M. Rossi (36), M. Boldy (44)
    pokexG 0.51win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-5
    19:48

3rd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    4-6
    1:02
  2. MIN
    M. Boldy (45), M. Foligno (15)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +6 ptsVideo
    4-7
    2:06
  3. SJS
    wristxG 0.16win prob +5 ptsVideo
    5-7
    4:44
  4. SJS
    wristxG 0.17win prob +13 ptsVideo
    6-7
    10:02
  5. SJS
    wristxG 0.04win prob +46 ptsVideo
    7-7
    19:08

Overtime

  1. MIN
    snapxG 0.20win prob +49 ptsVideo
    7-8
    1:01

Penalties

SJS 10 PIM·MIN 2 PIM

1st

  • 2:39SJSTy Dellandrea · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

2nd

  • 15:35SJSCarl Grundstrom · Roughingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 15:35MINMatt Boldy · Roughingdrawn by Carl Grundstrom2 min
  • 16:01SJSWilliam Eklund · Trippingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min
  • 19:30SJSAlexander Wennberg · High stickingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

3rd

  • 0:37SJSLucas Carlsson · Trippingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalSJS goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Kirill Kaprizov, OT 1:01 — MIN 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.51J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.32M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.21K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.19J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.13K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.13K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.13K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.12M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.12J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.11M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.11J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.10M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.10M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.10M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.10J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.09M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.08B. Faber · Goal · xG 0.07M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.07M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.06G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.06M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.05Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.05M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.05M. Johansson · Goal · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.03M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.02M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.01M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.01D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.00M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.00D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN8 G · 4.1 xG · 62 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsMIN
3.07 G
All situations
8 G4.1
2.97 G
Even strength
5 G2.4
0.10 G
Power play
3 G1.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 105 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS35%65%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.95 – 3.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsMIN
31
Shots on goal
44
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/0
Power play
3/4
10
Penalty minutes
2
27
Hits
24
24
Blocked shots
14
10
Giveaways
17
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
37T. LiljegrenD022+200.00110—25:57
21A. WennbergC011-120.070223822:25
3H. ThrunD011-100.01020—22:25
2W. SmithC134+230.4810010020:44
26J. ThompsonD022010.28040—20:34
36L. CarlssonD000010.00042—19:42
71M. CelebriniC325+440.512005319:09
38M. FerraroD000+350.06220—18:04
72W. EklundL011010.00202—17:49
73T. ToffoliC101030.2010010017:48
15N. KovalenkoR101+110.16230—16:19
23B. GoodrowC000010.18110014:44
53T. DellandreaC000010.022223613:25
44M. VlasicD000020.04020—12:52
91C. GrundstromR101+140.94702—11:48
9N. GregorL000000.01310—08:43
63Z. OstapchukC000+110.043007008:18
46C. LundC011+110.03000007:54
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(O)44368.8184.09-3.9159:40

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).