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Boston Bruins at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV NESN, MSG·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the New Jersey Devils 7-2. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Casey Mittelstadt's goal at 19:07 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 71% to 88%. Expected goals were close — BOS 1.9, NJD 1.8; shots on goal were BOS 25, NJD 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 19 of 21 (.905); Jacob Markstrom stopped 16 of 23 (.696), 5.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. David Pastrnak (1 G, 2 A), 2. Morgan Geekie (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jakub Lauko (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    M. Geekie1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    J. Lauko1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS2112836725
NJDNJD0102704221

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.10win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:38
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.02win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    19:24

2nd period

  1. BOS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    3:45
  2. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-1
    13:51
  3. NJD
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    14:10
  4. BOS
    wristxG 0.01win prob +18 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:07

3rd period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.19win prob +7 ptsVideo
    5-2
    4:58
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.16win prob +1 ptsVideo
    6-2
    6:55
  3. BOS
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.21Video
    7-2
    10:50

Penalties

BOS 2 PIM·NJD 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:24BOSJakub Lauko · Hookingdrawn by Seamus Casey2 min

2nd

  • 0:27NJDJesper Bratt · Hookingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 6:39NJDDawson Mercer · Hookingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalBOS goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Casey Mittelstadt, 2nd 19:07 — BOS 71% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.20S. Noesen · Goal · xG 0.14P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.13J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.12T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.12S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.09S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.09T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.06D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.06D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.05P. Cotter · Missed · xG 0.05D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.05L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.04T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.04L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.04B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.03D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.03S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.03L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.03S. Casey · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.02E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.02D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.02S. Casey · On goal · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.01T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.01L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kovacevic · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.00J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD2 G · 1.8 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsNJD
1.97 G
All situations
2 G1.8
1.77 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS53%47%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.90 – 1.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsNJD
25
Shots on goal
21
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
27
14
Blocked shots
12
16
Giveaways
16
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6M. LohreiD000+110.02130—21:33
91N. ZadorovD011+320.08200—19:26
52A. PeekeD011+320.01110—19:10
20H. JokiharjuD011+110.06010—19:04
29P. WotherspoonD011+110.02010—18:36
79M. CallahanD101+110.03200—18:11
88D. PastrnakR123+310.12110—17:44
28E. LindholmC000+310.121106317:02
39M. GeekieC112+330.34000016:56
18P. ZachaC000+110.2210010016:51
11C. MittelstadtC101+120.020306016:22
23F. LysellR011+110.05010—15:25
92M. KhusnutdinovC000000.00100014:52
95V. LettieriC011020.18100014:15
93F. MintenC101020.172005013:50
45C. KoepkeL101+130.32000—13:26
19J. BeecherC000+100.001104013:20
94J. LaukoC101+110.12112011:57
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman(W)21192.9051.76-0.2460:00

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).