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Canadiens at Predators
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
▸2
Nashville Predators
1
FinalTV FDSNSO, TSN2·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Nashville Predators 2-1. The Predators scored first; the Canadiens answered. The Canadiens led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrik Laine's goal at 5:47 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 47% to 64%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were MTL 17, NSH 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Jakub Dobes stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Juuse Saros stopped 15 of 17 (.882), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jakub Dobes (36 saves, .973), 2. Cole Caufield (1 G), 3. Steven Stamkos (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Dobes36 saves, .973
  2. ★★
    MTL
    C. Caufield1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    S. Stamkos1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL042805217
NSHNSH18015014137

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    S. Stamkos(25)
    F. Forsberg (41)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:19

2nd period

  1. MTL
    C. Caufield(36)
    N. Suzuki (57)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    1:40
  2. MTL
    P. Laine(20)
    L. Hutson (58), A. Newhook (11)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    5:47

Penalties

MTL 15 PIM·NSH 9 PIM

1st

  • 10:13MTLMichael Pezzetta · Fightingdrawn by Andreas Englund5 min
  • 10:13NSHAndreas Englund · Fightingdrawn by Michael Pezzetta5 min
  • 10:33NSHSpencer Stastney · Slashingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min
  • 16:21MTLJayden Struble · Hookingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

2nd

  • 8:07MTLJuraj Slafkovský · Roughingdrawn by Justin Barron2 min
  • 8:07MTLKaiden Guhle · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Luke Evangelista2 min
  • 8:07NSHMarc Del Gaizo · Roughingdrawn by Juraj Slafkovský2 min
  • 18:10MTLKaiden Guhle · Holdingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

3rd

  • 7:47MTLMichael Pezzetta · Hookingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalMTL goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Patrik Laine, 2nd 5:47 — MTL 47% → 64%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Blankenburg · Missed · xG 0.23M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.21M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.20F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.19R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.16R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.13R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.13S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.12M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.10S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.10S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.09M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.09F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.08S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.07Z. L'Heureux · Missed · xG 0.07M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.07C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.06L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.06B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.06M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.06M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.05K. Bellows · Missed · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.05S. Stastney · On goal · xG 0.04F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.04K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.04M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.04S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.03J. Barron · Missed · xG 0.03S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02Z. L'Heureux · On goal · xG 0.02R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.02L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.01S. Stastney · On goal · xG 0.01L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.01M. Del Gaizo · On goal · xG 0.01M. Del Gaizo · On goal · xG 0.01M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.01L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.01M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.01M. Del Gaizo · On goal · xG 0.01N. Blankenburg · On goal · xG 0.01M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.00K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH1 G · 3.2 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsNSH
1.82 G
All situations
1 G3.2
1.32 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.00 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL19%81%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.33 – 3.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsNSH
17
Shots on goal
37
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/1
Power play
0/4
15
Penalty minutes
9
16
Hits
19
24
Blocked shots
10
17
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD000020.02070—31:46
45A. CarrierD000000.00070—25:56
48L. HutsonD011+200.00010—21:33
28C. DvorakC000-100.092205019:57
21K. GuhleD000020.02224—19:08
14N. SuzukiC011+100.110004218:39
17J. AndersonR000-130.140105017:59
40J. ArmiaR000000.48110—17:37
71J. EvansC000030.230006216:07
20J. SlafkovskýL000+100.05102—15:04
15A. NewhookC011+100.122002514:49
13C. CaufieldR101+130.18110—14:34
11B. GallagherR000-110.03100—14:22
92P. LaineL101+110.20010—11:28
47J. StrubleD000010.08002—11:13
72A. XhekajD000000.00410—09:33
91O. KapanenC000+100.05000007:36
55M. PezzettaL000010.02207—04:39
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
75J. Dobes(W)37361.9733.17+2.1760:00

Season series

MTL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).