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Anaheim Ducks at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV Victory+, KCOP-13·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Anaheim Ducks 6-2. The Ducks scored first; the Canucks answered. The Canucks led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Filip Hronek's goal at 10:46 of the first period, which took the Canucks' chances from 54% to 67%. Expected goals were close — ANA 2.5, VAN 2.4; shots on goal were ANA 32, VAN 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 20 of 26 (.769), 3.6 goals below expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Quinn Hughes (2 A), 2. Max Sasson (1 G), 3. Elias Pettersson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    Q. Hughes2 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    M. Sasson1 G
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA112110010232
VANVAN5140616626

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:21
  2. VAN
    snapxG 0.05win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:40
  3. VAN
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    10:46
  4. VAN
    B. Boeser(25)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-3
    11:32
  5. VAN
    C. Garland(19)PPG
    Q. Hughes (56), B. Boeser (23)
    backhandxG 0.73win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-4
    13:25
  6. VAN
    wristxG 0.14win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-5
    14:10

2nd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.15win prob +4 ptsVideo
    2-5
    2:49

3rd period

  1. VAN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.16win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-6
    5:33

Penalties

ANA 4 PIM·VAN 4 PIM

1st

  • 11:01ANAAlex Killorn · Hookingdrawn by Marcus Pettersson2 min
  • 12:56ANADrew Helleson · Interferencedrawn by Aatu Räty2 min

2nd

  • 4:06VANPius Suter · Slashingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 15:07VANElias Pettersson · Interferencedrawn by Isac Lundeström2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalANA goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Filip Hronek, 1st 10:46 — VAN 54% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Garland · Goal · xG 0.73M. Sasson · Goal · xG 0.16D. Joshua · Goal · xG 0.14D. Joshua · On goal · xG 0.11Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.09B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.08B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.07K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.07C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.07M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.06C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.06D. Joshua · On goal · xG 0.06B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.05B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.05E. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.05C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.05D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.04K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.04K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.04D. Joshua · On goal · xG 0.04F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sasson · On goal · xG 0.03L. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03F. Hronek · Goal · xG 0.02K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.02D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.02A. Räty · On goal · xG 0.02C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.02B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.02J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sasson · On goal · xG 0.01V. Mancini · Missed · xG 0.01D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.01K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.01C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.01D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.01T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.01J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.00B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN6 G · 2.4 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsVAN
2.52 G
All situations
6 G2.4
2.52 G
Even strength
4 G1.2
0.10 G
Power play
2 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA54%46%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.51 – 2.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsVAN
32
Shots on goal
26
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/2
Power play
2/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
31
Hits
31
5
Blocked shots
9
12
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7R. GudasD011010.03500—21:19
2J. LaCombeD000000.02200—20:36
43D. HellesonD000-130.04402—20:18
51O. ZellwegerD000-160.11200—20:04
34P. MintyukovD011-120.04010—18:58
91L. CarlssonC000020.260007117:52
23M. McTavishC011020.101002317:51
19T. TerryR101-130.3101010017:44
17A. KillornL000030.07112—17:12
16R. StromeC000-110.181005016:50
11T. ZegrasC101010.15100016:36
77F. VatranoR011-130.66110—16:21
64S. ColangeloR000010.00300—16:09
61C. GauthierL000010.1820010015:15
58O. KylingtonD000-100.00100—14:28
38J. HarkinsC000-100.0320010011:25
62N. NesterenkoC000-120.19410010:25
21I. LundestromC000-110.131007009:37
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(L)26206.7692.38-3.6260:00

Season series

VAN leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).