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Minnesota Wild at New York Rangers

Final/OTTV FDSNNO, MSGSN·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Minnesota Wild 5-4 in overtime, Vincent Trocheck scoring at 0:24. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Rangers led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vincent Trocheck's goal at 0:24 of overtime, which took the Rangers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.9 to 2.4; shots on goal were MIN 24, NYR 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 34 of 39 (.872), 1.1 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Vincent Trocheck (1 G), 2. Artemi Panarin (1 G, 2 A), 3. Marcus Johansson (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    V. Trocheck1 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Johansson1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MINMIN271111600424
NYRNYR1183130711539

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    G. Nyquist(10)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:00
  2. NYR
    snapxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:45
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    15:00

2nd period

  1. NYR
    J. Miller (42), W. Borgen (10)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    2:51
  2. NYR
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-3
    7:21
  3. MIN
    G. Nyquist (16), B. Faber (18)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +19 ptsVideo
    3-3
    9:50
  4. NYR
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.17win prob +22 ptsVideo
    3-4
    18:56

3rd period

  1. MIN
    snapxG 0.68win prob +23 ptsVideo
    4-4
    0:22

Overtime

  1. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.20win prob +49 ptsVideo
    4-5
    0:24

Penalties

MIN 8 PIM·NYR 4 PIM

1st

  • 8:15NYRAlexis Lafrenière · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

2nd

  • 8:46MINMatt Boldy · Roughingdrawn by Brennan Othmann2 min

3rd

  • 9:01NYRWill Cuylle · Hookingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min
  • 10:46MINRyan Hartman · Interferencedrawn by J.T. Miller2 min
  • 12:23MINMarcus Johansson · Trippingdrawn by K'Andre Miller2 min
  • 15:52MINMarcus Foligno · Trippingdrawn by K'Andre Miller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalMIN goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Vincent Trocheck, OT 0:24 — NYR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.40C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.24M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.24V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.20J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.18A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.17B. Othmann · On goal · xG 0.16A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.12A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.12J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.11C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.11V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.11J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.11G. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.10A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.09J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.08C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.08C. Soucy · Missed · xG 0.07S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.07A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.07G. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.07B. Schneider · Goal · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.06A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.06W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.06A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.05K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03C. Soucy · Missed · xG 0.03A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.03C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.03A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.03C. Soucy · Missed · xG 0.03U. Vaakanainen · Missed · xG 0.03A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.02K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02K. Miller · Goal · xG 0.02J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.02C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.02G. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.02A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.01A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.01W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.01U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Berard · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.01C. Soucy · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.01W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01G. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.01A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.01W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.01U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.00S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.00U. Vaakanainen · Missed · xG 0.00
NYR5 G · 3.9 xG · 65 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsNYR
2.44 G
All situations
5 G3.9
1.72 G
Even strength
5 G2.8
0.21 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.51 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN25%75%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.28 – 3.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsNYR
24
Shots on goal
39
33%
Faceoffs
67%
1/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
24
11
Blocked shots
13
19
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD112+130.07000—27:27
5J. MiddletonD000+200.05220—25:10
46J. SpurgeonD000-120.02010—22:46
90M. JohanssonL123+230.18202—20:51
25J. BrodinD000-100.00140—20:26
89F. GaudreauC011+110.010202619:21
12M. BoldyL011-240.6500210019:19
36M. ZuccarelloR011+100.00200—18:14
23M. RossiC101-251.00100716:46
41G. NyquistR112020.15100—16:13
17M. FolignoL000-100.00302—16:01
38R. HartmanR000-110.160126214:18
24Z. BogosianD000-210.00100—12:25
18V. HinostrozaC000-100.03100012:19
13Y. TreninC000-110.03000008:57
47D. ChisholmD000-210.02000—08:31
19D. ShoreC000-100.001004007:31
15J. BrazeauR000-100.00210—06:37
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(O)39345.8723.86-1.1460:24

Season series

NYR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).