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Washington Capitals at Boston Bruins

FinalTV MNMT, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Boston Bruins 4-3. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Strome's goal at 10:37 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 48% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.1 to 2.2; shots on goal were WSH 32, BOS 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Charlie Lindgren stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 0.8 goals below expected; Jeremy Swayman stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Strome (1 G, 1 A), 2. David Pastrnak (2 G), 3. Vinni Lettieri (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    D. Strome1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak2 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    V. Lettieri1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH21106215432
BOSBOS0429111324

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    N. Dowd(13)SHG
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    13:32
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.17win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-0
    15:43

2nd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:05
  2. BOS
    M. Geekie (16), M. Lohrei (26)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:12

3rd period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.45win prob +33 ptsVideo
    3-2
    10:37
  2. WSH
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    4-2
    14:46
  3. BOS
    M. Geekie (17), P. Zacha (31)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +10 ptsVideo
    4-3
    15:13

Penalties

WSH 11 PIM·BOS 9 PIM

1st

  • 13:21WSHDylan McIlrath · Cross checkingdrawn by Cole Koepke2 min
  • 14:51BOSDavid Pastrnak · Hookingdrawn by Rasmus Sandin2 min

2nd

  • 8:58WSHLars Eller · High stickingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min
  • 10:27BOSDavid Pastrnak · Interferencedrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 14:39WSHDylan McIlrath · Fightingdrawn by Jeffrey Viel5 min
  • 14:39BOSJeffrey Viel · Fightingdrawn by Dylan McIlrath5 min
  • 15:25WSHJakob Chychrun · Holdingdrawn by John Beecher2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalWSH goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Dylan Strome, 3rd 10:37 — WSH 48% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.23D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.15V. Lettieri · Goal · xG 0.15V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.13E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.13D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.10C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.10V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.10M. Khusnutdinov · On goal · xG 0.07D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.07J. Beecher · On goal · xG 0.07M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.06M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.06C. Koepke · Missed · xG 0.06J. Lauko · Missed · xG 0.06V. Lettieri · Missed · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.05P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.05E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.05M. Lohrei · Missed · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.04I. Mitchell · Missed · xG 0.04V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.03V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.03P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02A. Peeke · Missed · xG 0.02V. Lettieri · Missed · xG 0.02V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.02J. Lauko · Missed · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.02M. Khusnutdinov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Beecher · Missed · xG 0.01H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Lohrei · Missed · xG 0.01A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.00C. Koepke · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS3 G · 2.2 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsBOS
3.14 G
All situations
3 G2.2
1.82 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.41 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH57%43%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.47 – 2.14

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsBOS
32
Shots on goal
24
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/2
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
9
17
Hits
20
15
Blocked shots
13
13
Giveaways
12
1
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011-170.14030—26:16
57T. van RiemsdykD000+200.00040—21:39
38R. SandinD000-110.07100—21:09
6J. ChychrunD000010.03102—20:53
80P. DuboisC011+120.291004218:15
42M. FehérváryD011+220.05210—18:02
43T. WilsonR101+140.35310—17:56
21A. ProtasL011+130.33000—17:01
17D. StromeC112+120.510104716:59
8A. OvechkinL112+120.87100—16:23
22B. DuhaimeL011-120.09110—14:43
9R. LeonardR000+100.04300—14:14
24C. McMichaelL000-210.120106713:58
26N. DowdC101-130.150104513:47
72A. BeauvillierR000000.00110—11:34
20L. EllerC000010.020026310:52
52D. McIlrathD000010.02107—10:33
88A. MangiapaneL000000.00210—09:59
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Lindgren(W)24213.8752.19-0.8160:00

Season series

WSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).