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Predators at Flyers
NHL

Nashville Predators at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
1
Philadelphia Flyers
▸2
FinalTV FDSNSO, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Nashville Predators 2-1. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jamie Drysdale's goal at 13:48 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were NSH 29, PHI 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Justus Annunen stopped 16 of 18 (.889), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Ivan Fedotov stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Poehling (1 G), 2. Matvei Michkov (2 A), 3. Ivan Fedotov (28 saves, .966).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    R. Poehling1 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    M. Michkov2 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    I. Fedotov28 saves, .966

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH0711606129
PHIPHI082505218

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. PHI
    R. Poehling(11)
    T. Konecny (48), M. Michkov (33)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +18 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:50
  2. NSH
    Z. L'Heureux(5)
    M. McCarron (8), B. Skjei (18)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    13:14
  3. PHI
    J. Drysdale(7)
    M. Michkov (34), T. Konecny (49)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-2
    13:48

Penalties

NSH 2 PIM·PHI 2 PIM

1st

  • 5:03NSHBrady Skjei · Trippingdrawn by Jakob Pelletier2 min

2nd

  • 10:49PHITravis Sanheim · Holdingdrawn by Michael McCarron2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalNSH goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Jamie Drysdale, 2nd 13:48 — PHI 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.42B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.40M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.26R. Abols · On goal · xG 0.21M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.19J. Drysdale · Goal · xG 0.15C. York · Missed · xG 0.15T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.15T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.14O. Lycksell · On goal · xG 0.13T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.12B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.12R. Poehling · Goal · xG 0.10R. Abols · On goal · xG 0.10N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.09T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.09J. Pelletier · Missed · xG 0.09G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.08S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.08T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.05J. Pelletier · Missed · xG 0.05O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.03S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.03G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.03J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.02O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.01O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.01S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.01G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.01R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.01C. York · Missed · xG 0.01
PHI2 G · 3.4 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsPHI
1.91 G
All situations
2 G3.4
1.61 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH31%69%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.91 – 2.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsPHI
29
Shots on goal
18
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
15
Hits
18
7
Blocked shots
20
12
Giveaways
19
2
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
37N. BlankenburgD000040.27010—23:05
90R. O'ReillyC000010.011008620:25
76B. SkjeiD011000.01012—19:53
91S. StamkosC000010.030004419:47
20J. BarronD000+110.00010—19:47
9F. ForsbergL000020.06400—19:03
77L. EvangelistaR000000.00000—18:52
58M. BuntingL000+140.27000—17:36
36C. SmithR000-210.1500010017:05
47M. McCarronC011+110.153003617:01
7M. Del GaizoD000+130.09100—15:29
68Z. L'HeureuxL101030.24200—15:06
40F. SvechkovC000-210.031001115:02
82J. OesterleD000-120.06010—14:15
26K. BellowsL000040.52000—12:38
24S. StastneyD000-100.00020—12:03
8A. EnglundD000-210.02210—11:50
19J. VranaL000-100.03100—10:41
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Annunen(L)18162.8892.99+0.9958:22

Season series

PHI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).