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Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames

Final/OTTV KHN/Prime, KONG·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Seattle Kraken 4-3 in overtime, Nazem Kadri scoring at 3:58. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Kraken led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nazem Kadri's goal at 3:58 of overtime, which took the Flames' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 3.6 to 2.8; shots on goal were SEA 29, CGY 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Joey Daccord stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 1.2 goals below expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nazem Kadri (2 G), 2. Rasmus Andersson (1 G), 3. Vince Dunn (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    N. Kadri2 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    R. Andersson1 G
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    V. Dunn1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
SEASEA082121603329
CGYCGY1901021414437

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:58

2nd period

  1. SEA
    wristxG 0.18win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:25
  2. SEA
    V. Dunn (23)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:42

3rd period

  1. CGY
    N. Kadri(27)PPG
    wristxG 0.08win prob +31 ptsVideo
    2-2
    13:42
  2. CGY
    slapxG 0.03win prob +39 ptsVideo
    2-3
    15:49
  3. SEA
    wristxG 0.52win prob +36 ptsVideo
    3-3
    18:30

Overtime

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.22win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    3:58

Penalties

SEA 13 PIM·CGY 15 PIM

1st

  • 17:17CGYRyan Lomberg · Cross checkingdrawn by Tye Kartye2 min

2nd

  • 3:04SEABrandon Montour · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
  • 8:44CGYserved by C. Zary · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 14:49CGYJoel Hanley · Hookingdrawn by Kaapo Kakko2 min

3rd

  • 4:01CGYMatt Coronato · Hookingdrawn by Michael Eyssimont2 min
  • 10:25SEABrandon Montour · High sticking double minordrawn by Matt Coronato4 min
  • 15:07SEAMichael Eyssimont · Roughingdrawn by Martin Pospisil2 min
  • 15:07CGYMartin Pospisil · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Michael Eyssimont2 min
  • 15:07CGYNazem Kadri · Fightingdrawn by Brandon Montour5 min
  • 15:07SEABrandon Montour · Fightingdrawn by Nazem Kadri5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalSEA goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Nazem Kadri, OT 3:58 — CGY 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.30J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.22N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.22A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.16M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.13R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.13A. Klapka · Goal · xG 0.11J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.11M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.10N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.08J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.07M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.07M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.06C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.06M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.05J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.05K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.05J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.05R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.05Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.03B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.03B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03R. Andersson · Goal · xG 0.03M. Pospisil · Missed · xG 0.03M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Miromanov · Missed · xG 0.02M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.02C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.02K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.02A. Klapka · Missed · xG 0.02J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.02K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.01K. Bahl · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.00K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.00J. Bean · Missed · xG 0.00J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.00N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY4 G · 2.8 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsCGY
3.63 G
All situations
4 G2.8
1.92 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
1.61 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA62%38%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.50 – 2.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsCGY
29
Shots on goal
37
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/4
Power play
1/3
13
Penalty minutes
15
23
Hits
27
26
Blocked shots
12
16
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29V. DunnD011+130.18020—24:21
10M. BeniersC011020.172006122:34
62B. MontourD000020.271611—22:27
6A. LarssonD000+110.01020—21:59
41R. EvansD000000.00220—20:53
7J. EberleR101-110.57110—20:19
19J. McCannL011-130.130104519:06
20E. TolvanenR000010.0552010018:50
95A. BurakovskyL011010.12110—18:24
51S. WrightC000010.310201818:19
17J. SchwartzL112+150.391003317:27
84K. KakkoR000000.24000—17:01
24J. OleksiakD000-200.00320—16:00
38J. NymanR000-130.39010—14:26
8C. FleuryD000-110.10320—10:56
21M. EyssimontC000030.2910210009:20
15J. HaydenC000010.203106708:06
12T. KartyeL101+110.15010—07:50
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Daccord(O)37334.8922.78-1.2262:17

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).