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Capitals at Jets
NHL

Washington Capitals at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
2
Winnipeg Jets
▸3
Final/OTTV MNMT, TVAS·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Washington Capitals 3-2 in overtime, Nikolaj Ehlers scoring at 1:28. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikolaj Ehlers's goal at 1:28 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 2.1 to 1.7; shots on goal were WSH 29, WPG 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.3 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Nikolaj Ehlers (1 G), 2. Mason Appleton (1 G), 3. Alex Ovechkin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    N. Ehlers1 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    M. Appleton1 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WSHWSH1601211100229
WPGWPG18170911325

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    J. Morrissey(12)
    M. Scheifele (43), D. DeMelo (15)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:50
  2. WSH
    A. Mangiapane(14)
    J. Chychrun (26)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:20

2nd period

  1. WPG
    M. Appleton(9)
    N. Niederreiter (18), C. Perfetti (30)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +21 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:48

3rd period

  1. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(36)
    A. Protas (35), T. van Riemsdyk (19)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +38 ptsVideo
    2-2
    16:00

Overtime

  1. WPG
    N. Ehlers(24)
    D. Samberg (13), A. Lowry (16)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    1:28

Penalties

WSH 6 PIM·WPG 6 PIM

1st

  • 17:07WSHAndrew Mangiapane · Cross checkingdrawn by Colin Miller2 min
  • 17:07WPGColin Miller · Boardingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min

2nd

  • 7:09WPGCole Perfetti · Trippingdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min
  • 14:32WPGLuke Schenn · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 17:37WSHMartin Fehérváry · Holdingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min

3rd

  • 6:29WSHTaylor Raddysh · Interferencedrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalWSH goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Nikolaj Ehlers, OT 1:28 — WPG 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.15N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.13A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.13A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.12R. Kupari · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.10N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.08N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.06C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.05J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.05M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.05J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.04M. Appleton · Goal · xG 0.04C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.04C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.03D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.03C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · Goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.03D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.01L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG3 G · 1.7 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsWPG
2.12 G
All situations
3 G1.7
1.72 G
Even strength
3 G1.2
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH58%42%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.10 – 1.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsWPG
29
Shots on goal
25
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/2
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
15
12
Blocked shots
20
13
Giveaways
11
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3M. RoyD000-240.05100—22:15
6J. ChychrunD011040.25010—21:22
42M. FehérváryD000-100.02102—20:39
43T. WilsonR000010.11400—20:32
80P. DuboisC000-110.080106920:30
74J. CarlsonD000-120.14100—19:41
24C. McMichaelL000-120.23000—17:55
21A. ProtasL011+110.16010—17:50
8A. OvechkinL101040.23100—17:42
38R. SandinD000+110.02220—16:51
57T. van RiemsdykD011+210.06110—16:39
17D. StromeC000-100.070304316:01
26N. DowdC000-100.013003313:50
72A. BeauvillierR000010.190105013:14
22B. DuhaimeL000010.01120—13:12
16T. RaddyshR000020.26102—10:53
88A. MangiapaneL101+120.08002—09:59
20L. EllerC000020.141008009:21
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
48L. Thompson(O)25223.8801.75-1.2561:28

Season series

WPG leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).