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Philadelphia Flyers at Dallas Stars

Final/OTTV Victory+, NBCSP·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-2 in overtime, Thomas Harley scoring at 0:09. The Stars scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Thomas Harley's goal at 0:09 of overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.3 to 1.6; shots on goal were PHI 24, DAL 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 15 of 16 (.938); Jake Oettinger stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Thomas Harley (2 G), 2. Travis Konecny (1 G), 3. Esa Lindell (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    T. Harley2 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    T. Konecny1 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    E. Lindell1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PHIPHI082501100224
DALDAL23070811319

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    snapxG 0.02win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:27
  2. DAL
    snapxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    8:59

2nd period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    13:03
  2. PHI
    snapxG 0.22win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-2
    18:48

Overtime

  1. DAL
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    0:09

Penalties

PHI 10 PIM·DAL 8 PIM

1st

  • 15:11DALIlya Lyubushkin · Roughingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 15:11DALIlya Lyubushkin · Slashingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 15:11PHITravis Konecny · Slashingdrawn by Ilya Lyubushkin2 min
  • 18:40DALJason Robertson · High stickingdrawn by Bobby Brink2 min

2nd

  • 13:45PHINick Seeler · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 16:07PHIBobby Brink · High stickingdrawn by Esa Lindell2 min
  • 19:51PHITravis Konecny · Hookingdrawn by Oskar Bäck2 min

3rd

  • 3:13PHIOwen Tippett · Trippingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min
  • 4:41DALMathew Dumba · Interferencedrawn by Travis Konecny2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalPHI goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Thomas Harley, OT 0:09 — DAL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.22T. Harley · Goal · xG 0.19M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.14W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.12W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.09J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.07M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06E. Lindell · Goal · xG 0.06T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.05M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.04I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.04E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.04R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.02I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.02E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.02T. Harley · Goal · xG 0.02E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.02C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.02T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.01M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.01T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.00M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.00T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL3 G · 1.6 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsDAL
2.32 G
All situations
3 G1.6
1.82 G
Even strength
3 G1.2
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI63%37%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.28 – 1.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsDAL
24
Shots on goal
19
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
19
Hits
16
20
Blocked shots
16
14
Giveaways
27
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD000-120.04120—27:45
8C. YorkD011010.14210—22:39
27N. CatesL000010.032204422:31
9J. DrysdaleD000000.01010—20:49
71T. FoersterR011+160.77520—20:44
14S. CouturierC011010.100104720:31
11T. KonecnyR101-130.1901410019:47
24N. SeelerD000-120.10522—16:43
36E. AndraeD000+100.00010—16:16
39M. MichkovR011+130.20110—15:17
10B. BrinkR000010.08112—14:28
15O. LycksellR000-100.02110—14:11
25R. PoehlingC101020.390306413:19
5E. ZamulaD000010.03010—13:05
22J. PelletierL000010.050005012:18
74O. TippettR000000.07102—08:31
18R. AbolsC000-100.00000007:28
44N. DeslauriersL000-100.09000—06:05
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Ersson(O)16151.9381.48+0.4840:09
82I. Fedotov312.3330.15-1.8520:00

Season series

DAL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).