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Hurricanes at Sharks
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
San Jose Sharks
1
FinalTV FDSNSO, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the San Jose Sharks 3-1. The Sharks scored first; the Hurricanes answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sebastian Aho's goal at 4:58 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.9 to 2.6; shots on goal were CAR 29, SJS 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Georgi Romanov stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Sebastian Aho (1 G), 2. William Eklund (1 G), 3. Seth Jarvis (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G
  2. ★★
    SJS
    W. Eklund1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Jarvis1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR01211027329
SJSSJS1906010125

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    W. Eklund(15)SHG
    T. Dellandrea (6)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    13:00

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Jarvis(27)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.23win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:31

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(26)
    J. Blake (13), B. Burns (19)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +28 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:58
  2. CAR
    S. Walker(4)
    T. Hall (20), S. Gostisbehere (31)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-1
    14:18

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

1st

  • 11:24SJSZack Ostapchuk · Hookingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 18:49CARTaylor Hall · Hookingdrawn by William Eklund2 min

3rd

  • 8:19SJSTyler Toffoli · High stickingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 11:24CARJordan Martinook · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min
  • 16:34CARTaylor Hall · Hookingdrawn by Shakir Mukhamadullin2 min
  • 19:37SJSWill Smith · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalCAR goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Sebastian Aho, 3rd 4:58 — CAR 48% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.63W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.18T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.16T. Dellandrea · Missed · xG 0.15W. Smith · Missed · xG 0.15C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.13T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.12T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.11C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.08W. Eklund · Goal · xG 0.07B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.07W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.06C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.06L. Cagnoni · On goal · xG 0.06C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.05P. Giles · Missed · xG 0.05M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.05T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.04W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.03A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.02T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.02W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.01T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.01T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.01W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.01L. Cagnoni · Missed · xG 0.00V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS1 G · 2.6 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsSJS
2.93 G
All situations
1 G2.6
2.23 G
Even strength
0 G1.1
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR49%51%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.55 – 2.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsSJS
29
Shots on goal
25
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
7
Hits
27
19
Blocked shots
20
15
Giveaways
18
2
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. BurnsD011+100.01010—22:09
74J. SlavinD000+240.57050—21:44
26S. WalkerD101010.12010—19:36
24S. JarvisR101+230.81200—18:37
20S. AhoC101+250.371006518:21
5J. ChatfieldD000010.02020—18:18
4S. GostisbehereD011+130.11150—18:01
7D. OrlovD000010.01010—17:36
71T. HallL011+110.26114—17:04
53J. BlakeR011+220.28000—17:02
11J. StaalC000010.001103616:58
82J. KotkaniemiC000010.120008316:01
48J. MartinookL000000.0010210015:24
96J. RoslovicC000000.000006714:44
22L. StankovenC000-120.09010012:49
50E. RobinsonL000010.08010—12:14
27T. JostC000010.01000008:54
77M. JankowskiL000020.080006708:28
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)25241.9602.61+1.6160:00

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).