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Washington Capitals at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSCA, MNMT·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the San Jose Sharks 5-1. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aliaksei Protas's goal at 17:26 of the first period, which took the Capitals' chances from 61% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 2.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were WSH 28, SJS 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 19 of 20 (.950), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Georgi Romanov stopped 9 of 11 (.818), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Ovechkin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Tom Wilson (2 A), 3. Macklin Celebrini (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    T. Wilson2 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    M. Celebrini1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH3170526528
SJSSJS0307110120

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.55win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:33
  2. WSH
    L. Eller (10), T. Wilson (27)
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    17:26
  3. WSH
    snapxG 0.11win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    18:55

3rd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.29win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-1
    6:19
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.04win prob +6 ptsVideo
    4-1
    6:59
  3. WSH
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-1
    10:54

Penalties

WSH 16 PIM·SJS 16 PIM

1st

  • 15:01SJSTimothy Liljegren · Interferencedrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

2nd

  • 7:08WSHRasmus Sandin · Interferencedrawn by William Eklund2 min
  • 11:03SJSMario Ferraro · Holdingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min
  • 14:56WSHTom Wilson · Fightingdrawn by Zack Ostapchuk5 min
  • 14:56SJSZack Ostapchuk · Fightingdrawn by Tom Wilson5 min
  • 15:37SJSNoah Gregor · Fightingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime5 min
  • 15:37WSHBrandon Duhaime · Fightingdrawn by Noah Gregor5 min
  • 16:41SJSMario Ferraro · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 17:36WSHJakob Chychrun · Cross checkingdrawn by Vincent Desharnais2 min
  • 17:36WSHJakob Chychrun · Roughingdrawn by Shakir Mukhamadullin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalWSH goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Aliaksei Protas, 1st 17:26 — WSH 61% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Celebrini · Goal · xG 0.29T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.16W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.13W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.11C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.11M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.10P. Giles · On goal · xG 0.09W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09S. Mukhamadullin · On goal · xG 0.08W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.08A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.07M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.07P. Giles · Missed · xG 0.06W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.05M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.05M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.05M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.04A. Wennberg · Missed · xG 0.04N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.03T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.02C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.02M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mukhamadullin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.01T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.01P. Giles · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS1 G · 1.9 xG · 28 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsSJS
2.45 G
All situations
1 G1.9
2.25 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH59%41%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.36 – 1.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsSJS
28
Shots on goal
20
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/3
Power play
0/3
16
Penalty minutes
16
13
Hits
22
4
Blocked shots
15
14
Giveaways
17
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD000+120.16204—21:19
74J. CarlsonD011+100.00100—20:50
3M. RoyD000+310.03100—20:01
38R. SandinD000000.00012—19:11
17D. StromeC101020.650005017:42
8A. OvechkinL112+140.16200—17:34
43T. WilsonR022+110.10105—17:19
57T. van RiemsdykD101020.07010—17:16
42M. FehérváryD011+300.02120—17:06
80P. DuboisC022+210.110004016:26
24C. McMichaelL000020.13000—16:03
16T. RaddyshR101+220.1810010014:26
26N. DowdC000020.040006214:22
21A. ProtasL101+310.24000—14:18
20L. EllerC022+230.260006013:23
88A. MangiapaneL011+120.15000—12:46
22B. DuhaimeL000000.00105—12:43
72A. BeauvillierR000030.12300—11:29
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
48L. Thompson(W)20191.9501.91+0.9159:46

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).