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New York Islanders at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSCA, MSGSN·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the San Jose Sharks 4-2. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anders Lee's goal at 1:13 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 72% to 90%. Expected goals were close — NYI 3.3, SJS 3.4; shots on goal were NYI 28, SJS 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ilya Sorokin (38 saves, .950), 2. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (1 G, 2 A), 3. Macklin Celebrini (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    I. Sorokin38 saves, .950
  2. ★★
    NYI
    J. Pageau1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    M. Celebrini2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI2801327428
SJSSJS02019111240

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.03win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    10:43
  2. NYI
    N. Dobson (21), A. Pelech (16)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    19:21

2nd period

  1. SJS
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:27

3rd period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(24)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    1:13
  2. NYI
    slapxG 0.04win prob +6 ptsVideo
    4-1
    3:51
  3. SJS
    W. Smith(12)PPG
    wristxG 0.04Video
    4-2
    18:33

Penalties

NYI 8 PIM·SJS 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:52NYIAdam Pelech · Trippingdrawn by Macklin Celebrini2 min
  • 10:11SJSHenry Thrun · Trippingdrawn by Kyle MacLean2 min
  • 11:15SJSKlim Kostin · High stickingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min

2nd

  • 4:35NYIAnders Lee · Holdingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min

3rd

  • 2:00SJSNikolai Kovalenko · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Pulock2 min
  • 8:22NYIMarc Gatcomb · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min
  • 15:29SJSNikolai Kovalenko · Hookingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 17:45NYIAdam Boqvist · Holdingdrawn by William Eklund2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalNYI goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Anders Lee, 3rd 1:13 — NYI 72% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.20K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.17W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.15K. Kostin · Missed · xG 0.14K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.12W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.11T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.11M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.11C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.10M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.10M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.09N. Kovalenko · Goal · xG 0.09P. Giles · On goal · xG 0.09M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.09W. Smith · Missed · xG 0.08W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.08C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.07M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.07M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.07T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.07W. Smith · Missed · xG 0.07T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.06T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.06M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.06T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.06W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05A. Wennberg · Missed · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.05T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.05C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.04W. Smith · Goal · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.04A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.04P. Giles · On goal · xG 0.04M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.04M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.04B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.04M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.04W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kovalenko · Missed · xG 0.02S. Mukhamadullin · Missed · xG 0.02T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.02H. Thrun · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kostin · Missed · xG 0.01H. Thrun · Missed · xG 0.01H. Thrun · On goal · xG 0.01H. Thrun · Missed · xG 0.01H. Thrun · Missed · xG 0.01M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mukhamadullin · On goal · xG 0.01H. Thrun · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.00B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.00A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS2 G · 3.4 xG · 59 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsSJS
3.34 G
All situations
2 G3.4
2.02 G
Even strength
0 G2.2
0.92 G
Power play
2 G1.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 106 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI40%60%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.77 – 3.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsSJS
28
Shots on goal
40
52%
Faceoffs
48%
2/4
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
14
Hits
26
14
Blocked shots
17
21
Giveaways
16
1
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8N. DobsonD022+220.18110—22:43
14B. HorvatC000071.260005722:04
3A. PelechD011+210.06022—21:36
28A. RomanovD000000.00310—21:31
10S. HolmstromR022+200.00010—20:45
4T. DeAngeloD011000.07000—20:07
44J. PageauC123+210.150305018:48
21K. PalmieriC000060.60000017:49
11A. DuclairL101020.62000—16:42
6R. PulockD000000.00030—16:21
27A. LeeL101+230.1610210016:14
53C. CizikasC000010.033003314:24
34A. BoqvistD101010.04012—13:45
7M. TsyplakovR000010.01000—12:51
20H. FaschingR000010.1001010011:29
32K. MacLeanC000010.032006009:28
18P. EngvallL000010.01010—08:42
16M. GatcombC000000.0040210008:01
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(W)40382.9503.45+1.4560:00

Season series

NYI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).