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Montréal Canadiens at Edmonton Oilers

Final/OTTV SNW, TSN2·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-2 in overtime, Evan Bouchard scoring at 4:53. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evan Bouchard's goal at 4:53 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — MTL 3.2, EDM 3.4; shots on goal were MTL 27, EDM 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Stuart Skinner stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 1 A), 2. Evan Bouchard (1 G, 1 A), 3. Cole Caufield (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    E. Bouchard1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    C. Caufield1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MTLMTL111170504227
EDMEDM191140811332

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:34
  2. MTL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:14

2nd period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.06win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-2
    1:06
  2. MTL
    L. Hutson (45), J. Evans (17)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    10:19

Overtime

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.24win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    4:53

Penalties

MTL 6 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

1st

  • 11:46MTLBrendan Gallagher · High stickingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 13:03MTLAlexandre Carrier · High stickingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 18:00EDMCorey Perry · Slashingdrawn by Jayden Struble2 min

2nd

  • 0:50MTLserved by B. Gallagher · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 1:47EDMEvan Bouchard · Trippingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalMTL goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Evan Bouchard, OT 4:53 — EDM 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Perry · Goal · xG 0.24E. Bouchard · Goal · xG 0.24C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.23L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.21K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.20M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.18V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.17Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.13L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.12E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.11R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.11C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.11C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.10V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.10M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.07M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.06L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.06C. Dineen · Missed · xG 0.05T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.04V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.03C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.03C. Dineen · On goal · xG 0.03C. Dineen · Missed · xG 0.03T. Emberson · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.01C. Dineen · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01T. Emberson · Missed · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dineen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.01C. Dineen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dineen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.01C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.00C. Dineen · Missed · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 3.4 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsEDM
3.22 G
All situations
3 G3.4
2.82 G
Even strength
2 G2.8
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL45%55%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.06 – 3.37

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsEDM
27
Shots on goal
32
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
29
Hits
21
24
Blocked shots
14
13
Giveaways
10
2
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD000040.40050—30:58
14N. SuzukiC000+120.411304724:16
45A. CarrierD000+100.00222—22:48
20J. SlafkovskýL000030.18420—22:04
48L. HutsonD011000.00000—20:21
13C. CaufieldR101+150.9420010020:01
72A. XhekajD000000.00210—17:24
58D. SavardD000000.00070—17:13
71J. EvansC011000.002107517:12
28C. DvorakC000030.210004316:54
11B. GallagherR000000.00202—14:35
17J. AndersonR000020.14100—14:23
40J. ArmiaR101+130.20130—14:23
51E. HeinemanL000+110.41600—14:21
47J. StrubleD000000.00300—12:57
15A. NewhookC000-100.0020010011:53
92P. LaineL000-140.29000—10:18
62O. BeckC000-100.00100008:22
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(O)32293.9063.39+0.3964:53

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).