Montréal Canadiens at Edmonton Oilers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Edmonton Oilers beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-2 in overtime, Evan Bouchard scoring at 4:53. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evan Bouchard's goal at 4:53 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — MTL 3.2, EDM 3.4; shots on goal were MTL 27, EDM 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Stuart Skinner stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 1 A), 2. Evan Bouchard (1 G, 1 A), 3. Cole Caufield (1 G).
Three stars
- ★L. Draisaitl1 G, 1 A

- ★★E. Bouchard1 G, 1 A

- ★★★C. Caufield1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-19:34
1-115:14
2nd period
1-21:06
2-210:19
Overtime
2-34:53
Penalties
1st
- 11:46
Brendan Gallagher · High stickingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
- 13:03
Alexandre Carrier · High stickingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
- 18:00
Corey Perry · Slashingdrawn by Jayden Struble2 min
2nd
- 0:50
served by B. Gallagher · Too many men on the ice2 min
3rd
- 1:47
Evan Bouchard · Trippingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Evan Bouchard, OT 4:53 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.22 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.4
- 2.82 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.8
- 0.40 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.4
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.06 – 3.37
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 32
- 54%
- Faceoffs
- 46%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 29
- Hits
- 21
- 24
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 13
- Giveaways
- 10
- 2
- Takeaways
- 12
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
0@
3Final
2@
3OTthis game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















