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Jets at Islanders
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
2
New York Islanders
▸3
FinalTV MSGSN, TSN3·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-2. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Pulock's goal at 4:03 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 78% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.8 to 1.9; shots on goal were WPG 28, NYI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 1.1 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brock Nelson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Kyle Palmieri (1 G), 3. Josh Morrissey (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    B. Nelson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    K. Palmieri1 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    J. Morrissey1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG01011315228
NYINYI1171715329

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    K. Palmieri(20)PPG
    B. Nelson (23), B. Horvat (23)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    16:49

2nd period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson(20)
    M. Tsyplakov (19), N. Dobson (19)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    1:33
  2. WPG
    J. Morrissey(9)PPG
    M. Scheifele (34), K. Connor (44)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    8:48

3rd period

  1. NYI
    R. Pulock(4)
    A. Lee (20), C. Cizikas (7)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    4:03
  2. WPG
    N. Ehlers(19)PPG
    K. Connor (45), J. Morrissey (40)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    2-3
    12:51

Penalties

WPG 9 PIM·NYI 11 PIM

1st

  • 8:49NYIRyan Pulock · Holdingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min
  • 15:00NYIAnders Lee · Fightingdrawn by Adam Lowry5 min
  • 15:00WPGAdam Lowry · Fightingdrawn by Anders Lee5 min
  • 16:26WPGNino Niederreiter · Trippingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min

2nd

  • 7:56NYIAnders Lee · High stickingdrawn by Colin Miller2 min
  • 16:20WPGMason Appleton · Holdingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min

3rd

  • 11:23NYIJean-Gabriel Pageau · Slashingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalWPG goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Pulock, 3rd 4:03 — NYI 78% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.20K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.17S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.14S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.14H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.13K. Palmieri · Goal · xG 0.11K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.09S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.08B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.08N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.08A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.07C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.07M. Gatcomb · Missed · xG 0.05K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.05M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.03T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.03B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.03J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.03J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.02A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · Goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.00A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.00A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.00N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.00A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.00N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.00R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.00R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.00
NYI3 G · 1.9 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsNYI
2.82 G
All situations
3 G1.9
2.00 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.72 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG66%34%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.72 – 1.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsNYI
28
Shots on goal
29
51%
Faceoffs
49%
2/3
Power play
1/2
9
Penalty minutes
11
16
Hits
34
8
Blocked shots
26
13
Giveaways
9
8
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD112-140.27110—25:45
64L. StanleyD000-100.01110—22:26
55M. ScheifeleC011-100.030004521:55
4N. PionkD000-110.04210—21:48
81K. ConnorL022-140.31000—21:23
13G. VilardiC000-110.0711010019:53
62N. NiederreiterR000000.0620210018:15
2D. DeMeloD000-110.05120—18:14
27N. EhlersL101070.70000—18:08
22M. AppletonC000030.15002016:49
7V. NamestnikovC000020.112005615:04
17A. LowryC000010.491055014:45
24H. FleuryD000010.05000—13:57
6C. MillerD000010.04200—13:48
91C. PerfettiC000000.16100013:47
9A. IafalloL000-100.00020—08:50
15R. KupariC000-120.230005007:34
36M. BarronC000-100.00200006:50
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)29263.8971.90-1.1058:26

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).