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Seattle Kraken at St. Louis Blues

FinalTV FDSNMW, KHN/Prime·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Seattle Kraken 7-2. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 6-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Kyrou's goal at 8:04 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.6 to 1.5; shots on goal were SEA 27, STL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Nikke Kokko stopped 4 of 6 (.667), 1.3 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Zachary Bolduc (2 G), 2. Oskar Sundqvist (1 G, 2 A), 3. Cam Fowler (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    Z. Bolduc2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    O. Sundqvist1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    C. Fowler1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA0401429227
STLSTL21441112727

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:04
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.13win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-2
    12:48

2nd period

  1. STL
    batxG 0.24win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    5:10
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.07win prob +4 ptsVideo
    0-4
    8:23
  3. STL
    wristxG 0.02win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-5
    9:45
  4. STL
    wristxG 0.09Video
    0-6
    11:55

3rd period

  1. STL
    tip-inxG 0.13Video
    0-7
    0:20
  2. SEA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12Video
    1-7
    5:13
  3. SEA
    K. Kakko (23), A. Larsson (12)
    wristxG 0.04Video
    2-7
    12:09

Penalties

SEA 4 PIM·STL 4 PIM

1st

  • 12:40SEAEeli Tolvanen · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min

2nd

  • 1:00STLRadek Faksa · Trippingdrawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand2 min
  • 18:10SEAAndre Burakovsky · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min

3rd

  • 16:11STLRadek Faksa · Holdingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalSEA goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Kyrou, 1st 8:04 — STL 54% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Thomas · Goal · xG 0.24R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.23R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.15R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.15R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.15M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.14P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.14Z. Bolduc · Goal · xG 0.13O. Sundqvist · Goal · xG 0.13O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.13J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.12P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.12P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.10J. Neighbours · Goal · xG 0.09B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Bolduc · Goal · xG 0.07B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.06P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.05P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.04C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.03B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.03D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.03C. Fowler · Goal · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.02N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.01M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.01R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.01P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.01P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.00
STL7 G · 2.6 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsSTL
1.52 G
All situations
7 G2.6
1.22 G
Even strength
6 G2.3
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA28%72%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.46 – 2.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsSTL
27
Shots on goal
27
34%
Faceoffs
66%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
18
11
Blocked shots
11
12
Giveaways
20
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. LarssonD011-120.13010—20:56
29V. DunnD101+130.15000—20:55
62B. MontourD000-320.11110—20:31
41R. EvansD000-300.00410—19:55
10M. BeniersC000-200.081002518:51
9C. StephensonC000-110.070106418:27
28J. MahuraD000-100.00200—17:41
84K. KakkoR011-120.09000—17:39
17J. SchwartzL101-230.131103317:24
7J. EberleR000-100.0020010017:06
19J. McCannL000-140.150005016:40
24J. OleksiakD000-100.00300—16:16
51S. WrightC000020.11000915:34
22O. BjorkstrandR000-120.04310—14:21
95A. BurakovskyL000010.07012—14:18
13B. TanevL000020.10030—12:15
20E. TolvanenR000-120.22112—10:42
67M. StephensC000-210.010002508:39
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39N. Kokko642.6670.68-1.3229:57
35J. Daccord(L)21165.7621.94-3.0629:45

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).