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Stars at Islanders
NHL

Dallas Stars at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸4
New York Islanders
3
FinalTV Victory+, MSGSN·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the New York Islanders 4-3. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Robertson's goal at 17:28 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 65% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 4.6 to 3.0; shots on goal were DAL 29, NYI 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 34 of 37 (.919); Ilya Sorokin stopped 25 of 29 (.862). Three stars: 1. Jason Robertson (3 G), 2. Roope Hintz (2 A), 3. Kyle Palmieri (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Robertson3 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    R. Hintz2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    K. Palmieri1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL1931505429
NYINYI08218111337

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    S. Steel(5)
    O. Bäck (10), C. Ceci (13)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:10

2nd period

  1. NYI
    P. Engvall(4)
    K. MacLean (5), M. Gatcomb (1)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:44
  2. DAL
    J. Robertson(21)
    R. Hintz (15), M. Bourque (10)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-1
    8:48
  3. NYI
    K. Palmieri(17)
    T. DeAngelo (4), B. Nelson (19)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    8:55
  4. DAL
    J. Robertson(22)PPG
    R. Hintz (16), M. Duchene (35)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-2
    15:53
  5. DAL
    J. Robertson(23)PPG
    W. Johnston (33), M. Duchene (36)
    wristxG 0.44win prob +20 ptsVideo
    4-2
    17:28

3rd period

  1. NYI
    A. Duclair(5)
    B. Horvat (22)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    4-3
    9:17

Penalties

DAL 21 PIM·NYI 12 PIM

1st

  • 11:15NYIAnthony Duclair · Slashingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min

2nd

  • 13:26NYICasey Cizikas · Match penaltydrawn by Lian Bichsel5 min
  • 13:26DALMathew Dumba · Instigatordrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 13:26NYICasey Cizikas · Fightingdrawn by Mathew Dumba5 min
  • 13:26DALMathew Dumba · Fightingdrawn by Casey Cizikas5 min
  • 13:26DALMathew Dumba · Instigator misconduct10 min
  • 18:26DALserved by M. Bourque · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 16:51DALOskar Bäck · Slashingdrawn by Simon Holmstrom2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalDAL goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Jason Robertson, 2nd 17:28 — DAL 65% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.31S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.23B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.19J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.18P. Engvall · Goal · xG 0.15A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.13B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.12K. Palmieri · Goal · xG 0.11M. Tsyplakov · Missed · xG 0.11K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.09S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.09M. Gatcomb · Missed · xG 0.09A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.09R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.08K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.07K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.06B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.06B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.05B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.05J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.05S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.05J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.05A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.04B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.04B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.04B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.04S. Perunovich · On goal · xG 0.03T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.02M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.02S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.01S. Perunovich · On goal · xG 0.01C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.01C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.01C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.01S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.01P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.00R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.00A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.00A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.00T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.00S. Perunovich · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI3 G · 3.0 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsNYI
4.64 G
All situations
3 G3.0
2.42 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
1.82 G
Power play
0 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL68%32%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.05 – 2.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsNYI
29
Shots on goal
37
51%
Faceoffs
49%
2/4
Power play
0/2
21
Penalty minutes
22
10
Hits
28
12
Blocked shots
16
19
Giveaways
10
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55T. HarleyD000+110.03000—27:54
23E. LindellD000-100.44010—25:29
44C. CeciD011+110.00110—23:07
46I. LyubushkinD000-110.13020—18:45
64M. GranlundC000-110.05110018:11
95M. DucheneC022-120.410105617:23
53W. JohnstonC011-130.770005017:15
21J. RobertsonL303+141.20110—16:12
27M. MarchmentL000-140.31100—16:10
24R. HintzC022+130.281003316:06
18S. SteelC101040.220105013:32
22M. BourqueC011+100.350004313:29
15C. BlackwellC000020.282007813:21
63E. DadonovL000-100.00010—12:55
14J. BennL000-100.000004012:49
10O. BäckC011010.15002011:37
3M. DumbaD000-110.020317—10:45
6L. BichselD000-110.00300—09:00
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(W)37343.9192.98-0.0260:00

Season series

DAL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).