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Islanders at Wild
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New York Islanders at Minnesota Wild

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New York Islanders
3
Minnesota Wild
▸6
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Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the New York Islanders 6-3. The Wild came back from two goals down. The Wild led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Yakov Trenin's goal at 18:50 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals were close — NYI 3.4, MIN 3.2; shots on goal were NYI 35, MIN 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 2.3 goals below expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 32 of 35 (.914). Three stars: 1. Matt Boldy (2 G, 1 A), 2. Yakov Trenin (1 G), 3. Jared Spurgeon (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Boldy2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    Y. Trenin1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Spurgeon2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI19214012335
MINMIN11239212633

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    M. Rossi(19)
    M. Boldy (28), J. Spurgeon (13)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:19
  2. NYI
    K. Palmieri(16)
    B. Nelson (18), M. Tsyplakov (17)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:32

2nd period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson(17)
    M. Tsyplakov (18), K. Palmieri (21)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    0:28
  2. NYI
    A. Lee(23)
    S. Perunovich (7)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    7:17
  3. MIN
    F. Gaudreau(11)PPG
    L. Ohgren (3), B. Faber (16)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    13:21
  4. MIN
    M. Boldy(19)
    J. Brodin (14), J. Spurgeon (14)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +22 ptsVideo
    3-3
    17:59
  5. MIN
    Y. Trenin(6)
    J. Middleton (11), M. Khusnutdinov (5)
    tip-inxG 0.32win prob +22 ptsVideo
    3-4
    18:50

3rd period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy(20)
    Unassisted
    xG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-5
    5:53
  2. MIN
    M. Foligno(10)EN
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.56win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-6
    15:46

Penalties

NYI 4 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:01MINMarco Rossi · High stickingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min
  • 9:26NYIScott Perunovich · Holdingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min

2nd

  • 11:38NYICasey Cizikas · Holdingdrawn by Vinnie Hinostroza2 min

3rd

  • 9:59MINDeclan Chisholm · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalNYI goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Yakov Trenin, 2nd 18:50 — MIN 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.56Y. Trenin · Goal · xG 0.32Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.25Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.21M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.16M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.13M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.12M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.11V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rossi · Goal · xG 0.10M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.09V. Hinostroza · Missed · xG 0.08M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.07M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.06V. Hinostroza · Missed · xG 0.05M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.05V. Hinostroza · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.04M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.04B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.04B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Khusnutdinov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.03M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.03F. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.01F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hinostroza · Missed · xG 0.01J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.01M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.00J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.00B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN6 G · 3.2 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsMIN
3.43 G
All situations
5 G3.2
2.13 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
1.30 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI61%39%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.30 – 2.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsMIN
35
Shots on goal
33
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
13
21
Blocked shots
12
14
Giveaways
13
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28A. RomanovD000-200.15040—27:06
26S. PerunovichD011+210.05032—24:39
3A. PelechD000+130.04100—23:42
4T. DeAngeloD000-320.06030—21:42
29B. NelsonC112-190.771104719:05
21K. PalmieriC112030.18000018:38
34A. BoqvistD000-210.08110—18:32
7M. TsyplakovR022010.07320—18:00
14B. HorvatC000-220.190105717:30
10S. HolmstromR000-130.47100—15:49
44J. PageauC000000.071107815:10
11A. DuclairL000-110.35100—14:18
27A. LeeL101-260.63000—14:17
53C. CizikasC000010.12222013:58
32K. MacLeanC000000.003104011:44
16M. GatcombC000000.07220010:05
18P. EngvallL000020.09100—09:56
25D. CholowskiD000000.00000—02:52
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(L)32285.8752.66-2.3459:14

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).