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Utah Hockey Club at Hurricanes
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
3
Carolina Hurricanes
▸7
FinalTV FDSNSO, Utah16·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Utah Mammoth 7-3. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sebastian Aho's goal at 14:14 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 70% to 87%. Expected goals were close — UTA 4.0, CAR 4.0; shots on goal were UTA 39, CAR 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Utah Hockey Club win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 31 of 37 (.838), 2.5 goals below expected; Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 36 of 39 (.923), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Seth Jarvis (2 G, 2 A), 2. Sebastian Aho (2 G, 1 A), 3. Jalen Chatfield (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Jarvis2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Aho2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Chatfield1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA18111120339
CARCAR116412210738

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Chatfield(5)
    J. Staal (18), A. Svechnikov (22)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:09
  2. UTA
    J. Doan(3)PPG
    M. Maccelli (10), M. Carcone (7)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:35

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Jarvis(21)PPG
    B. Burns (16), A. Svechnikov (23)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    6:25
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(19)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    8:35
  3. UTA
    C. Keller(19)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    10:19
  4. CAR
    S. Aho(20)SHG
    S. Jarvis (22), J. Chatfield (8)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-4
    14:14
  5. CAR
    S. Jarvis(22)
    J. Blake (8)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +7 ptsVideo
    2-5
    19:15

3rd period

  1. UTA
    C. Keller(20)PPG
    M. Sergachev (25), D. Guenther (20)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-5
    16:11
  2. CAR
    J. Martinook(10)EN
    S. Aho (35), S. Jarvis (23)
    wristxG 0.51win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-6
    17:16
  3. CAR
    J. Roslovic(19)
    J. Blake (9), J. Jaaska (4)
    wristxG 0.23Video
    3-7
    18:34

Penalties

UTA 4 PIM·CAR 10 PIM

1st

  • 15:57CARBrent Burns · Trippingdrawn by Michael Carcone2 min
  • 18:16UTAIan Cole · Hookingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min

2nd

  • 5:51UTANick Bjugstad · Interferencedrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 13:03CARBrent Burns · Roughingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min

3rd

  • 8:18CARJaccob Slavin · Trippingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 14:21CARTaylor Hall · High stickingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min
  • 15:05CARSebastian Aho · Trippingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalUTA goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Sebastian Aho, 2nd 14:14 — CAR 70% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.51S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.30E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.30J. Roslovic · Goal · xG 0.23S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.21J. Chatfield · Goal · xG 0.17J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.14S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.13J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.13J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.13S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.11E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.09J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.09E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.09E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.08S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.08S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.08J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.07J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.06S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.06S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.06J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.06J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.05S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.04S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.04E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.03D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.03J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02S. Morrow · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.01E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.00J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.00J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR7 G · 4.0 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsCAR
4.03 G
All situations
6 G4.0
2.71 G
Even strength
4 G2.9
1.22 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 112 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA56%44%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.85 – 3.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsCAR
39
Shots on goal
38
42%
Faceoffs
58%
2/5
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
10
21
Hits
16
10
Blocked shots
14
18
Giveaways
20
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD011-230.12220—23:34
6J. MarinoD000030.14020—20:55
9C. KellerR202-250.49000—19:50
8N. SchmaltzC000-200.000005619:17
57N. DeSimoneD000-100.00020—18:31
2O. MaattaD000-110.05000—18:15
11D. GuentherR011-360.37100—17:40
82K. StenlundC000010.102004317:30
27B. HaytonC000-320.810004317:07
28I. ColeD000-200.00022—15:42
63M. MaccelliL011-110.21010—15:13
15A. KerfootC000-110.213105014:39
17N. BjugstadC000060.6030210014:32
7M. KesselringD000-210.01200—14:22
53M. CarconeL011-420.29200—13:51
22J. McBainC000020.144001413:01
67L. CrouseL000-130.28200—12:06
91J. DoanR101-120.150003311:59
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(L)37316.8383.53-2.4759:22

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).